Forecast models from major centers show Ankara under persistent high pressure on July 20, producing clear skies, light winds, and strong daytime radiative heating that support daily maxima near 34–35 °C. Ensemble spreads place the most probable outcomes in this narrow range, reflected in the market’s near-even split between those two bins. Subtle differences in boundary-layer moisture, exact timing of peak insolation, and local urban heat effects create the remaining uncertainty between 34 °C and 35 °C, while cooler or hotter outliers remain low-probability given current guidance. Updated model runs and official Turkish Meteorological Service briefings over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the consensus ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日7月20日のアンカラの最高気温は?
33°C 99.9%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$38,244 Vol.
$38,244 Vol.
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
100%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
33°C 99.9%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$38,244 Vol.
$38,244 Vol.
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
100%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jul 18, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast models from major centers show Ankara under persistent high pressure on July 20, producing clear skies, light winds, and strong daytime radiative heating that support daily maxima near 34–35 °C. Ensemble spreads place the most probable outcomes in this narrow range, reflected in the market’s near-even split between those two bins. Subtle differences in boundary-layer moisture, exact timing of peak insolation, and local urban heat effects create the remaining uncertainty between 34 °C and 35 °C, while cooler or hotter outliers remain low-probability given current guidance. Updated model runs and official Turkish Meteorological Service briefings over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the consensus ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

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