Official observations from the Esenboğa International Airport station, as reported by the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM), confirm Ankara's highest temperature on May 1, 2026, peaked at 15°C amid persistent cloud cover and cool northerly air flow, well below the early-May climatological average high of 18–20°C based on 1991–2020 normals. Morning readings showed 13.7°C under very cloudy skies, with overnight lows near 9–10°C in surrounding areas, aligning with model consensus for subdued warming under stable atmospheric conditions. This verified data has locked trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 15°C. Rare challenges could arise from post-preliminary quality-control revisions or instrument calibration adjustments, though MGM final reports seldom alter daily maxima significantly.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Ankara on May 1?
Highest temperature in Ankara on May 1?
15°C 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$80,151 Vol.
$80,151 Vol.
2026/05/01
11°C or below
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
Yes
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C or higher
No
15°C 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$80,151 Vol.
$80,151 Vol.
2026/05/01
11°C or below
$1,183 Vol.
No
12°C
$1,025 Vol.
No
13°C
$1,900 Vol.
No
14°C
$17,578 Vol.
No
15°C
$19,851 Vol.
Yes
16°C
$9,532 Vol.
No
17°C
$7,701 Vol.
No
18°C
$6,986 Vol.
No
19°C
$5,726 Vol.
No
20°C
$3,700 Vol.
No
21°C or higher
$4,969 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Esenboğa International Airport station, as reported by the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM), confirm Ankara's highest temperature on May 1, 2026, peaked at 15°C amid persistent cloud cover and cool northerly air flow, well below the early-May climatological average high of 18–20°C based on 1991–2020 normals. Morning readings showed 13.7°C under very cloudy skies, with overnight lows near 9–10°C in surrounding areas, aligning with model consensus for subdued warming under stable atmospheric conditions. This verified data has locked trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 15°C. Rare challenges could arise from post-preliminary quality-control revisions or instrument calibration adjustments, though MGM final reports seldom alter daily maxima significantly.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 29, 2026, 12:10 AM ET
音量
$80,151終了日
2026/05/01マーケット開始日
Apr 29, 2026, 12:10 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Esenboğa International Airport station, as reported by the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM), confirm Ankara's highest temperature on May 1, 2026, peaked at 15°C amid persistent cloud cover and cool northerly air flow, well below the early-May climatological average high of 18–20°C based on 1991–2020 normals. Morning readings showed 13.7°C under very cloudy skies, with overnight lows near 9–10°C in surrounding areas, aligning with model consensus for subdued warming under stable atmospheric conditions. This verified data has locked trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 15°C. Rare challenges could arise from post-preliminary quality-control revisions or instrument calibration adjustments, though MGM final reports seldom alter daily maxima significantly.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$80,151終了日
2026/05/01マーケット開始日
Apr 29, 2026, 12:10 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Official observations from the Esenboğa International Airport station, as reported by the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM), confirm Ankara's highest temperature on May 1, 2026, peaked at 15°C amid persistent cloud cover and cool northerly air flow, well below the early-May climatological average high of 18–20°C based on 1991–2020 normals. Morning readings showed 13.7°C under very cloudy skies, with overnight lows near 9–10°C in surrounding areas, aligning with model consensus for subdued warming under stable atmospheric conditions. This verified data has locked trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 15°C. Rare challenges could arise from post-preliminary quality-control revisions or instrument calibration adjustments, though MGM final reports seldom alter daily maxima significantly.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問