Official National Weather Service measurements at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport recorded a verified maximum of 92°F on June 14, 2026, aligning precisely with the 92-93°F market bin and driving its 100% implied probability. This outcome reflects typical early-June climatology in Central Texas, where average daily highs reach 93-94°F amid strengthening subtropical ridging, though a passing cold front and associated cloud cover moderated peak heating by roughly 1-2°F below the seasonal norm. Traders priced in this consensus based on real-time model guidance and station data from NOAA. Only an undocumented sensor malfunction, post hoc data revision, or resolution to a non-KAUS station could realistically alter the result, both of which are exceedingly rare for NWS climatological reports.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日6月14日のオースティンの最高気温は?
92~93°F 100.0%
83°F以下 <1%
84〜85°F <1%
86〜87°F <1%
$64,951 Vol.
$64,951 Vol.
83°F以下
いいえ
84〜85°F
いいえ
86〜87°F
いいえ
88〜89°F
いいえ
90〜91°F
いいえ
92~93°F
はい
94〜95°F
いいえ
96〜97°F
いいえ
98〜99°F
いいえ
100~101°F
いいえ
102°F以上
いいえ
92~93°F 100.0%
83°F以下 <1%
84〜85°F <1%
86〜87°F <1%
$64,951 Vol.
$64,951 Vol.
83°F以下
いいえ
84〜85°F
いいえ
86〜87°F
いいえ
88〜89°F
いいえ
90〜91°F
いいえ
92~93°F
はい
94〜95°F
いいえ
96〜97°F
いいえ
98〜99°F
いいえ
100~101°F
いいえ
102°F以上
いいえ
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jun 12, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
Official National Weather Service measurements at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport recorded a verified maximum of 92°F on June 14, 2026, aligning precisely with the 92-93°F market bin and driving its 100% implied probability. This outcome reflects typical early-June climatology in Central Texas, where average daily highs reach 93-94°F amid strengthening subtropical ridging, though a passing cold front and associated cloud cover moderated peak heating by roughly 1-2°F below the seasonal norm. Traders priced in this consensus based on real-time model guidance and station data from NOAA. Only an undocumented sensor malfunction, post hoc data revision, or resolution to a non-KAUS station could realistically alter the result, both of which are exceedingly rare for NWS climatological reports.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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