**Traders have converged on an 82-83°F high for Austin on June 15, 2026, because the official National Weather Service climatological report for Austin-Bergstrom International Airport (KAUS) recorded a maximum temperature in that narrow band.** This outcome reflects the station’s verified daily maximum, the resolution source used by prediction markets. June climatology in central Texas typically features highs near 93°F, but persistent cloud cover, light rain, and a cooler air mass suppressed temperatures well below average, keeping the peak around the low 80s. Model guidance and surface observations throughout the day aligned closely with this range, giving markets high confidence once preliminary data emerged. A realistic challenge would require an official revision to the NWS report or use of a non-standard station, both of which are rare for this event. The near-certain market pricing underscores how real-time official measurements anchor trader consensus when uncertainty collapses after the observation window closes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Austin on June 15?
Highest temperature in Austin on June 15?
82-83°F 100.0%
73°F or below <1%
74-75°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
$63,649 Vol.
$63,649 Vol.
2026/06/15
73°F or below
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
Yes
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92°F or higher
No
82-83°F 100.0%
73°F or below <1%
74-75°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
$63,649 Vol.
$63,649 Vol.
2026/06/15
73°F or below
$263 Vol.
No
74-75°F
$1,675 Vol.
No
76-77°F
$4,091 Vol.
No
78-79°F
$10,633 Vol.
No
80-81°F
$6,851 Vol.
No
82-83°F
$7,851 Vol.
Yes
84-85°F
$6,629 Vol.
No
86-87°F
$8,719 Vol.
No
88-89°F
$6,769 Vol.
No
90-91°F
$5,557 Vol.
No
92°F or higher
$4,611 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Traders have converged on an 82-83°F high for Austin on June 15, 2026, because the official National Weather Service climatological report for Austin-Bergstrom International Airport (KAUS) recorded a maximum temperature in that narrow band.**
This outcome reflects the station’s verified daily maximum, the resolution source used by prediction markets. June climatology in central Texas typically features highs near 93°F, but persistent cloud cover, light rain, and a cooler air mass suppressed temperatures well below average, keeping the peak around the low 80s.
Model guidance and surface observations throughout the day aligned closely with this range, giving markets high confidence once preliminary data emerged. A realistic challenge would require an official revision to the NWS report or use of a non-standard station, both of which are rare for this event. The near-certain market pricing underscores how real-time official measurements anchor trader consensus when uncertainty collapses after the observation window closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jun 13, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
音量
$63,649終了日
2026/06/15マーケット開始日
Jun 13, 2026, 9:03 PM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Traders have converged on an 82-83°F high for Austin on June 15, 2026, because the official National Weather Service climatological report for Austin-Bergstrom International Airport (KAUS) recorded a maximum temperature in that narrow band.**
This outcome reflects the station’s verified daily maximum, the resolution source used by prediction markets. June climatology in central Texas typically features highs near 93°F, but persistent cloud cover, light rain, and a cooler air mass suppressed temperatures well below average, keeping the peak around the low 80s.
Model guidance and surface observations throughout the day aligned closely with this range, giving markets high confidence once preliminary data emerged. A realistic challenge would require an official revision to the NWS report or use of a non-standard station, both of which are rare for this event. The near-certain market pricing underscores how real-time official measurements anchor trader consensus when uncertainty collapses after the observation window closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$63,649終了日
2026/06/15マーケット開始日
Jun 13, 2026, 9:03 PM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
**Traders have converged on an 82-83°F high for Austin on June 15, 2026, because the official National Weather Service climatological report for Austin-Bergstrom International Airport (KAUS) recorded a maximum temperature in that narrow band.** This outcome reflects the station’s verified daily maximum, the resolution source used by prediction markets. June climatology in central Texas typically features highs near 93°F, but persistent cloud cover, light rain, and a cooler air mass suppressed temperatures well below average, keeping the peak around the low 80s. Model guidance and surface observations throughout the day aligned closely with this range, giving markets high confidence once preliminary data emerged. A realistic challenge would require an official revision to the NWS report or use of a non-standard station, both of which are rare for this event. The near-certain market pricing underscores how real-time official measurements anchor trader consensus when uncertainty collapses after the observation window closes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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