Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a tight race between 18°C or below (50%) and 19°C (43%) for Beijing's highest temperature on April 16, driven by April 13's verified 18°C peak at Beijing Capital International Airport amid cloudy conditions, signaling persistent spring coolness from northerly cold fronts. China Meteorological Administration forecasts indicate a 21°C high with light rain and southwest light breezes, but model ensembles like those on timeanddate.com project overcast skies and 52% thunderstorm risk, potentially capping daytime heating near 19°C via increased cloud albedo and evaporative cooling. Differentiating factors include precipitation onset timing—early showers favor sub-19°C, while delayed clearing permits 20°C—and April 15 observations, with CMA updates expected to sharpen guidance amid Beijing's variable April climatology averaging 21°C highs.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Beijing on April 16?
Highest temperature in Beijing on April 16?
20°C 19%
19°C 15%
23°C 15%
21°C 14%
新規
新規
2026/04/16
18°C or below
47%
19°C
15%
20°C
19%
21°C
14%
22°C
9%
23°C
15%
24°C
11%
25°C
7%
26°C
2%
27°C
1%
28°C or higher
<1%
20°C 19%
19°C 15%
23°C 15%
21°C 14%
新規
新規
2026/04/16
18°C or below
$189 Vol.
47%
19°C
$29 Vol.
15%
20°C
$29 Vol.
19%
21°C
$55 Vol.
14%
22°C
$72 Vol.
9%
23°C
$48 Vol.
15%
24°C
$71 Vol.
11%
25°C
$24 Vol.
7%
26°C
$71 Vol.
2%
27°C
$171 Vol.
1%
28°C or higher
$91 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a tight race between 18°C or below (50%) and 19°C (43%) for Beijing's highest temperature on April 16, driven by April 13's verified 18°C peak at Beijing Capital International Airport amid cloudy conditions, signaling persistent spring coolness from northerly cold fronts. China Meteorological Administration forecasts indicate a 21°C high with light rain and southwest light breezes, but model ensembles like those on timeanddate.com project overcast skies and 52% thunderstorm risk, potentially capping daytime heating near 19°C via increased cloud albedo and evaporative cooling. Differentiating factors include precipitation onset timing—early showers favor sub-19°C, while delayed clearing permits 20°C—and April 15 observations, with CMA updates expected to sharpen guidance amid Beijing's variable April climatology averaging 21°C highs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 14, 2026, 6:42 PM ET
音量
$811終了日
2026/04/16マーケット開始日
Apr 14, 2026, 6:42 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a tight race between 18°C or below (50%) and 19°C (43%) for Beijing's highest temperature on April 16, driven by April 13's verified 18°C peak at Beijing Capital International Airport amid cloudy conditions, signaling persistent spring coolness from northerly cold fronts. China Meteorological Administration forecasts indicate a 21°C high with light rain and southwest light breezes, but model ensembles like those on timeanddate.com project overcast skies and 52% thunderstorm risk, potentially capping daytime heating near 19°C via increased cloud albedo and evaporative cooling. Differentiating factors include precipitation onset timing—early showers favor sub-19°C, while delayed clearing permits 20°C—and April 15 observations, with CMA updates expected to sharpen guidance amid Beijing's variable April climatology averaging 21°C highs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$811終了日
2026/04/16マーケット開始日
Apr 14, 2026, 6:42 PM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket reflects a tight race between 18°C or below (50%) and 19°C (43%) for Beijing's highest temperature on April 16, driven by April 13's verified 18°C peak at Beijing Capital International Airport amid cloudy conditions, signaling persistent spring coolness from northerly cold fronts. China Meteorological Administration forecasts indicate a 21°C high with light rain and southwest light breezes, but model ensembles like those on timeanddate.com project overcast skies and 52% thunderstorm risk, potentially capping daytime heating near 19°C via increased cloud albedo and evaporative cooling. Differentiating factors include precipitation onset timing—early showers favor sub-19°C, while delayed clearing permits 20°C—and April 15 observations, with CMA updates expected to sharpen guidance amid Beijing's variable April climatology averaging 21°C highs.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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