Trader consensus on Polymarket has converged to a near-certain 100% implied probability for a 21°C high temperature at Beijing Capital International Airport on April 16, backed by real-time observational data from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) and airport METAR reports showing a midday peak of 21°C under persistent light rain and overcast skies. Numerical weather prediction models, including short-range ECMWF and GFS ensembles updated within the last 24 hours, align on limited daytime heating due to cloud cover, northerly winds, and frontal passage, consistent with mid-April climatology where Beijing averages 18–22°C highs. As evening approaches with falling temperatures, further warming is improbable; realistic challenges would require an abrupt clearing and solar insolation spike before sunset, though current infrared satellite imagery indicates sustained cloudiness precluding this scenario. Final CMA daily summary expected post-midnight UTC.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日4月16日の北京の最高気温は？
4月16日の北京の最高気温は？
21℃ 100.0%
18℃以下 <1%
19℃ <1%
20°C <1%
$131,519 Vol.
$131,519 Vol.
2026/04/16
18℃以下
いいえ
19℃
いいえ
20°C
いいえ
21℃
はい
22℃
いいえ
23°C
いいえ
24℃
いいえ
25°C
いいえ
26°C
いいえ
27℃
いいえ
28℃以上
いいえ
21℃ 100.0%
18℃以下 <1%
19℃ <1%
20°C <1%
$131,519 Vol.
$131,519 Vol.
2026/04/16
18℃以下
$20,031 Vol.
いいえ
19℃
$8,139 Vol.
いいえ
20°C
$10,229 Vol.
いいえ
21℃
$23,751 Vol.
はい
22℃
$15,556 Vol.
いいえ
23°C
$12,331 Vol.
いいえ
24℃
$18,952 Vol.
いいえ
25°C
$5,513 Vol.
いいえ
26°C
$7,635 Vol.
いいえ
27℃
$4,266 Vol.
いいえ
28℃以上
$5,116 Vol.
いいえ
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has converged to a near-certain 100% implied probability for a 21°C high temperature at Beijing Capital International Airport on April 16, backed by real-time observational data from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) and airport METAR reports showing a midday peak of 21°C under persistent light rain and overcast skies. Numerical weather prediction models, including short-range ECMWF and GFS ensembles updated within the last 24 hours, align on limited daytime heating due to cloud cover, northerly winds, and frontal passage, consistent with mid-April climatology where Beijing averages 18–22°C highs. As evening approaches with falling temperatures, further warming is improbable; realistic challenges would require an abrupt clearing and solar insolation spike before sunset, though current infrared satellite imagery indicates sustained cloudiness precluding this scenario. Final CMA daily summary expected post-midnight UTC.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 14, 2026, 6:42 PM ET
音量
$131,519終了日
2026/04/16マーケット開始日
Apr 14, 2026, 6:42 PM ET提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has converged to a near-certain 100% implied probability for a 21°C high temperature at Beijing Capital International Airport on April 16, backed by real-time observational data from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) and airport METAR reports showing a midday peak of 21°C under persistent light rain and overcast skies. Numerical weather prediction models, including short-range ECMWF and GFS ensembles updated within the last 24 hours, align on limited daytime heating due to cloud cover, northerly winds, and frontal passage, consistent with mid-April climatology where Beijing averages 18–22°C highs. As evening approaches with falling temperatures, further warming is improbable; realistic challenges would require an abrupt clearing and solar insolation spike before sunset, though current infrared satellite imagery indicates sustained cloudiness precluding this scenario. Final CMA daily summary expected post-midnight UTC.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$131,519終了日
2026/04/16マーケット開始日
Apr 14, 2026, 6:42 PM ET提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
Trader consensus on Polymarket has converged to a near-certain 100% implied probability for a 21°C high temperature at Beijing Capital International Airport on April 16, backed by real-time observational data from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) and airport METAR reports showing a midday peak of 21°C under persistent light rain and overcast skies. Numerical weather prediction models, including short-range ECMWF and GFS ensembles updated within the last 24 hours, align on limited daytime heating due to cloud cover, northerly winds, and frontal passage, consistent with mid-April climatology where Beijing averages 18–22°C highs. As evening approaches with falling temperatures, further warming is improbable; realistic challenges would require an abrupt clearing and solar insolation spike before sunset, though current infrared satellite imagery indicates sustained cloudiness precluding this scenario. Final CMA daily summary expected post-midnight UTC.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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