Recent numerical weather prediction models for Beijing indicate a daily maximum near 31–33°C on July 18, driven by typical mid-July synoptic patterns featuring warm, humid southerly flow under a subtropical high with embedded convective activity. Scattered thunderstorms and increased cloud cover could cap peak readings by reducing insolation and enhancing evaporative cooling, while clear intervals or delayed precipitation would allow temperatures to reach or exceed 33°C. Urban heat-island effects and local wind patterns add variability to official station measurements used for resolution. Market-implied probabilities around 26% for 31°C and 24% for 32°C reflect traders weighting the balance between forecast guidance and these near-term atmospheric uncertainties ahead of final model runs.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日7月18日の北京の最高気温は？
7月18日の北京の最高気温は？
31℃ 100.0%
28°C以下 <1%
29℃ <1%
30℃ <1%
$82,054 Vol.
$82,054 Vol.
2026/07/18
28°C以下
いいえ
29℃
いいえ
30℃
いいえ
31℃
はい
32℃
いいえ
33°C
いいえ
34℃
いいえ
35℃
いいえ
36℃
いいえ
37℃
いいえ
38℃以上
いいえ
31℃ 100.0%
28°C以下 <1%
29℃ <1%
30℃ <1%
$82,054 Vol.
$82,054 Vol.
2026/07/18
28°C以下
$8,280 Vol.
いいえ
29℃
$13,925 Vol.
いいえ
30℃
$10,950 Vol.
いいえ
31℃
$10,133 Vol.
はい
32℃
$12,057 Vol.
いいえ
33°C
$9,356 Vol.
いいえ
34℃
$7,214 Vol.
いいえ
35℃
$5,041 Vol.
いいえ
36℃
$4,649 Vol.
いいえ
37℃
$222 Vol.
いいえ
38℃以上
$228 Vol.
いいえ
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models for Beijing indicate a daily maximum near 31–33°C on July 18, driven by typical mid-July synoptic patterns featuring warm, humid southerly flow under a subtropical high with embedded convective activity. Scattered thunderstorms and increased cloud cover could cap peak readings by reducing insolation and enhancing evaporative cooling, while clear intervals or delayed precipitation would allow temperatures to reach or exceed 33°C. Urban heat-island effects and local wind patterns add variability to official station measurements used for resolution. Market-implied probabilities around 26% for 31°C and 24% for 32°C reflect traders weighting the balance between forecast guidance and these near-term atmospheric uncertainties ahead of final model runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jul 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
音量
$82,054終了日
2026/07/18マーケット開始日
Jul 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ET提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models for Beijing indicate a daily maximum near 31–33°C on July 18, driven by typical mid-July synoptic patterns featuring warm, humid southerly flow under a subtropical high with embedded convective activity. Scattered thunderstorms and increased cloud cover could cap peak readings by reducing insolation and enhancing evaporative cooling, while clear intervals or delayed precipitation would allow temperatures to reach or exceed 33°C. Urban heat-island effects and local wind patterns add variability to official station measurements used for resolution. Market-implied probabilities around 26% for 31°C and 24% for 32°C reflect traders weighting the balance between forecast guidance and these near-term atmospheric uncertainties ahead of final model runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$82,054終了日
2026/07/18マーケット開始日
Jul 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ET提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
Recent numerical weather prediction models for Beijing indicate a daily maximum near 31–33°C on July 18, driven by typical mid-July synoptic patterns featuring warm, humid southerly flow under a subtropical high with embedded convective activity. Scattered thunderstorms and increased cloud cover could cap peak readings by reducing insolation and enhancing evaporative cooling, while clear intervals or delayed precipitation would allow temperatures to reach or exceed 33°C. Urban heat-island effects and local wind patterns add variability to official station measurements used for resolution. Market-implied probabilities around 26% for 31°C and 24% for 32°C reflect traders weighting the balance between forecast guidance and these near-term atmospheric uncertainties ahead of final model runs.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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外部リンクに注意してください。
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