Recent forecasts for Beijing on June 30, 2026, indicate potential afternoon thunderstorms and increased cloud cover tied to East Asian monsoon moisture, which is moderating peak heating through reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling. This aligns with model spreads showing highs clustered around 28–31°C, though some runs favor slightly cooler outcomes near 26–28°C if convection develops earlier or more persistently. Trader sentiment, reflected in closely matched probabilities for 26–28°C, centers on uncertainty in storm timing and coverage, which historically caps late-June maxima below climatological averages of ~30°C when moisture influx strengthens. Upcoming model updates and observational data over the next 48 hours will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Beijing on June 30?
Highest temperature in Beijing on June 30?
30°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$167,968 Vol.
$167,968 Vol.
2026/06/30
23°C or below
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C or higher
No
30°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$167,968 Vol.
$167,968 Vol.
2026/06/30
23°C or below
$13,813 Vol.
No
24°C
$6,680 Vol.
No
25°C
$6,072 Vol.
No
26°C
$15,821 Vol.
No
27°C
$8,255 Vol.
No
28°C
$24,132 Vol.
No
29°C
$26,404 Vol.
No
30°C
$29,642 Vol.
Yes
31°C
$17,237 Vol.
No
32°C
$10,177 Vol.
No
33°C or higher
$9,735 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Beijing on June 30, 2026, indicate potential afternoon thunderstorms and increased cloud cover tied to East Asian monsoon moisture, which is moderating peak heating through reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling. This aligns with model spreads showing highs clustered around 28–31°C, though some runs favor slightly cooler outcomes near 26–28°C if convection develops earlier or more persistently. Trader sentiment, reflected in closely matched probabilities for 26–28°C, centers on uncertainty in storm timing and coverage, which historically caps late-June maxima below climatological averages of ~30°C when moisture influx strengthens. Upcoming model updates and observational data over the next 48 hours will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jun 28, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
音量
$167,968終了日
2026/06/30マーケット開始日
Jun 28, 2026, 12:02 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Beijing on June 30, 2026, indicate potential afternoon thunderstorms and increased cloud cover tied to East Asian monsoon moisture, which is moderating peak heating through reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling. This aligns with model spreads showing highs clustered around 28–31°C, though some runs favor slightly cooler outcomes near 26–28°C if convection develops earlier or more persistently. Trader sentiment, reflected in closely matched probabilities for 26–28°C, centers on uncertainty in storm timing and coverage, which historically caps late-June maxima below climatological averages of ~30°C when moisture influx strengthens. Upcoming model updates and observational data over the next 48 hours will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$167,968終了日
2026/06/30マーケット開始日
Jun 28, 2026, 12:02 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Recent forecasts for Beijing on June 30, 2026, indicate potential afternoon thunderstorms and increased cloud cover tied to East Asian monsoon moisture, which is moderating peak heating through reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling. This aligns with model spreads showing highs clustered around 28–31°C, though some runs favor slightly cooler outcomes near 26–28°C if convection develops earlier or more persistently. Trader sentiment, reflected in closely matched probabilities for 26–28°C, centers on uncertainty in storm timing and coverage, which historically caps late-June maxima below climatological averages of ~30°C when moisture influx strengthens. Upcoming model updates and observational data over the next 48 hours will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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