Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in Buenos Aires' highest temperature on April 3, with 28°C leading at 33% implied probability, closely trailed by 29°C or higher (25%) and 27°C (22.5%), driven by the latest Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) forecasts and global models like GFS and ECMWF ensembles projecting peaks of 27–29°C. A persistent high-pressure ridge over the region has delivered above-normal autumn warmth, with clear skies and light northerly winds promoting diurnal heating from morning lows near 20°C, though increasing afternoon cloud cover introduces variability—some model runs cap at 27°C under partial shading, while sunnier scenarios push toward 29°C. Historical April averages hover around 22°C, underscoring the anomaly; watch SMN hourly updates and Aeroparque observations through late afternoon for resolution-defining peaks.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日4月3日のブエノスアイレスの最高気温は？
4月3日のブエノスアイレスの最高気温は？
29℃以上 33%
28℃ 33%
27℃ 22%
26℃ 14%
$41,429 Vol.
$41,429 Vol.
2026/04/03
19℃以下
<1%
20°C
<1%
21℃
<1%
22°C
<1%
23℃
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26℃
14%
27℃
22%
28℃
33%
29℃以上
33%
29℃以上 33%
28℃ 33%
27℃ 22%
26℃ 14%
$41,429 Vol.
$41,429 Vol.
2026/04/03
19℃以下
$2,864 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$1,534 Vol.
<1%
21℃
$1,668 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$3,889 Vol.
<1%
23℃
$1,675 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$4,204 Vol.
1%
25°C
$5,135 Vol.
1%
26℃
$3,735 Vol.
14%
27℃
$3,172 Vol.
22%
28℃
$3,716 Vol.
33%
29℃以上
$10,158 Vol.
33%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in Buenos Aires' highest temperature on April 3, with 28°C leading at 33% implied probability, closely trailed by 29°C or higher (25%) and 27°C (22.5%), driven by the latest Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) forecasts and global models like GFS and ECMWF ensembles projecting peaks of 27–29°C. A persistent high-pressure ridge over the region has delivered above-normal autumn warmth, with clear skies and light northerly winds promoting diurnal heating from morning lows near 20°C, though increasing afternoon cloud cover introduces variability—some model runs cap at 27°C under partial shading, while sunnier scenarios push toward 29°C. Historical April averages hover around 22°C, underscoring the anomaly; watch SMN hourly updates and Aeroparque observations through late afternoon for resolution-defining peaks.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Mar 29, 2026, 2:25 PM ET
音量
$41,429終了日
2026/04/03マーケット開始日
Mar 29, 2026, 2:25 PM ET提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てウィンドウ
最終
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in Buenos Aires' highest temperature on April 3, with 28°C leading at 33% implied probability, closely trailed by 29°C or higher (25%) and 27°C (22.5%), driven by the latest Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) forecasts and global models like GFS and ECMWF ensembles projecting peaks of 27–29°C. A persistent high-pressure ridge over the region has delivered above-normal autumn warmth, with clear skies and light northerly winds promoting diurnal heating from morning lows near 20°C, though increasing afternoon cloud cover introduces variability—some model runs cap at 27°C under partial shading, while sunnier scenarios push toward 29°C. Historical April averages hover around 22°C, underscoring the anomaly; watch SMN hourly updates and Aeroparque observations through late afternoon for resolution-defining peaks.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$41,429終了日
2026/04/03マーケット開始日
Mar 29, 2026, 2:25 PM ET提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てウィンドウ
最終
Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in Buenos Aires' highest temperature on April 3, with 28°C leading at 33% implied probability, closely trailed by 29°C or higher (25%) and 27°C (22.5%), driven by the latest Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) forecasts and global models like GFS and ECMWF ensembles projecting peaks of 27–29°C. A persistent high-pressure ridge over the region has delivered above-normal autumn warmth, with clear skies and light northerly winds promoting diurnal heating from morning lows near 20°C, though increasing afternoon cloud cover introduces variability—some model runs cap at 27°C under partial shading, while sunnier scenarios push toward 29°C. Historical April averages hover around 22°C, underscoring the anomaly; watch SMN hourly updates and Aeroparque observations through late afternoon for resolution-defining peaks.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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