Official observations from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) at Ministro Pistarini International Airport confirm Buenos Aires' highest temperature reached exactly 28°C on April 2, driving Polymarket traders to a unanimous 100% implied probability for this outcome as real-money consensus solidifies around verified hourly METAR data. This peak aligns with pre-event forecasts anticipating up to 28°C amid a warm autumn anomaly, elevated above the typical April average high of 22°C, and coincides with regional heat alerts for extreme temperatures. While measurement protocols at automated airport stations provide high-confidence evidence, realistic challenges could arise from rare post-processing revisions for sensor anomalies or disputes over data timestamps, though such shifts are improbable given the locked-in positioning.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日4月2日のブエノスアイレスの最高気温は?
4月2日のブエノスアイレスの最高気温は?
28℃ 100.0%
29°C <1%
30℃ <1%
31℃ <1%
$155,879 Vol.
$155,879 Vol.
28℃
100%
29°C
<1%
30℃
<1%
31℃
<1%
32℃
<1%
33°C以上
<1%
28℃ 100.0%
29°C <1%
30℃ <1%
31℃ <1%
$155,879 Vol.
$155,879 Vol.
28℃
100%
29°C
<1%
30℃
<1%
31℃
<1%
32℃
<1%
33°C以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Mar 29, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Official observations from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) at Ministro Pistarini International Airport confirm Buenos Aires' highest temperature reached exactly 28°C on April 2, driving Polymarket traders to a unanimous 100% implied probability for this outcome as real-money consensus solidifies around verified hourly METAR data. This peak aligns with pre-event forecasts anticipating up to 28°C amid a warm autumn anomaly, elevated above the typical April average high of 22°C, and coincides with regional heat alerts for extreme temperatures. While measurement protocols at automated airport stations provide high-confidence evidence, realistic challenges could arise from rare post-processing revisions for sensor anomalies or disputes over data timestamps, though such shifts are improbable given the locked-in positioning.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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