Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors 16°C (60%) as London's highest temperature today at London City Airport, closely tracking the latest Met Office and BBC Weather forecasts projecting daytime maxima of 15-16°C under overcast skies, light rain, and moderate breezes. These market-implied odds reflect ensemble model guidance showing limited solar heating from persistent cloud cover associated with an incoming low-pressure system—Storm Dave, expected Saturday—while a mild southerly airflow prevents sharper cooling. Overnight forecast updates in the past 24 hours have reinforced this outlook, with no major divergences; historical early April averages hover around 13-14°C, making 16°C a mild but plausible peak. Uncertainties remain in any brief clearing, potentially nudging toward 17°C (7%), with real-time observations resolving the market by evening.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in London on April 3?
Highest temperature in London on April 3?
16°C 59.7%
15°C 27.0%
17°C or higher 9.0%
14°C 4.6%
$121,611 Vol.
$121,611 Vol.
2026/04/03
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
2%
14°C
5%
15°C
27%
16°C
60%
17°C or higher
9%
16°C 59.7%
15°C 27.0%
17°C or higher 9.0%
14°C 4.6%
$121,611 Vol.
$121,611 Vol.
2026/04/03
7°C or below
$15,885 Vol.
<1%
8°C
$8,533 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$7,334 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$11,211 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$7,303 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$8,551 Vol.
1%
13°C
$11,972 Vol.
2%
14°C
$11,974 Vol.
5%
15°C
$15,127 Vol.
27%
16°C
$10,939 Vol.
60%
17°C or higher
$12,962 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors 16°C (60%) as London's highest temperature today at London City Airport, closely tracking the latest Met Office and BBC Weather forecasts projecting daytime maxima of 15-16°C under overcast skies, light rain, and moderate breezes. These market-implied odds reflect ensemble model guidance showing limited solar heating from persistent cloud cover associated with an incoming low-pressure system—Storm Dave, expected Saturday—while a mild southerly airflow prevents sharper cooling. Overnight forecast updates in the past 24 hours have reinforced this outlook, with no major divergences; historical early April averages hover around 13-14°C, making 16°C a mild but plausible peak. Uncertainties remain in any brief clearing, potentially nudging toward 17°C (7%), with real-time observations resolving the market by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Mar 29, 2026, 4:34 PM ET
音量
$121,611終了日
2026/04/03マーケット開始日
Mar 29, 2026, 4:34 PM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てウィンドウ
最終
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors 16°C (60%) as London's highest temperature today at London City Airport, closely tracking the latest Met Office and BBC Weather forecasts projecting daytime maxima of 15-16°C under overcast skies, light rain, and moderate breezes. These market-implied odds reflect ensemble model guidance showing limited solar heating from persistent cloud cover associated with an incoming low-pressure system—Storm Dave, expected Saturday—while a mild southerly airflow prevents sharper cooling. Overnight forecast updates in the past 24 hours have reinforced this outlook, with no major divergences; historical early April averages hover around 13-14°C, making 16°C a mild but plausible peak. Uncertainties remain in any brief clearing, potentially nudging toward 17°C (7%), with real-time observations resolving the market by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$121,611終了日
2026/04/03マーケット開始日
Mar 29, 2026, 4:34 PM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てウィンドウ
最終
Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors 16°C (60%) as London's highest temperature today at London City Airport, closely tracking the latest Met Office and BBC Weather forecasts projecting daytime maxima of 15-16°C under overcast skies, light rain, and moderate breezes. These market-implied odds reflect ensemble model guidance showing limited solar heating from persistent cloud cover associated with an incoming low-pressure system—Storm Dave, expected Saturday—while a mild southerly airflow prevents sharper cooling. Overnight forecast updates in the past 24 hours have reinforced this outlook, with no major divergences; historical early April averages hover around 13-14°C, making 16°C a mild but plausible peak. Uncertainties remain in any brief clearing, potentially nudging toward 17°C (7%), with real-time observations resolving the market by evening.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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