National Weather Service observations confirm Chicago-area temperatures have already climbed to 69°F at Midway Airport this morning under mostly cloudy, breezy conditions, propelling trader consensus to a 95.3% implied probability for a highest temperature of 58°F or higher at O'Hare International Airport (KORD) on April 3. This positioning reflects strong warm air advection from southerly winds ahead of an advancing warm front, aligning with the latest NOAA Global Forecast System and ECMWF model runs projecting daytime highs in the upper 50s to low 70s despite expanding cloud cover. Historical April normals hover around 54°F, but current synoptic patterns favor above-average warmth. Realistic challenges include prolonged thunderstorm activity suppressing late-day peaks or minor station-specific measurement discrepancies, though official KORD data—finalized post-midnight—faces low revision risk given mid-morning readings. Traders await hourly updates through evening severe weather risks.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Chicago on April 3?
Highest temperature in Chicago on April 3?
58°F or higher 96.0%
56-57°F 2.1%
54-55°F 1.0%
52-53°F <1%
$86,229 Vol.
$86,229 Vol.
2026/04/03
39°F or below
<1%
40-41°F
<1%
42-43°F
<1%
44-45°F
<1%
46-47°F
<1%
48-49°F
<1%
50-51°F
<1%
52-53°F
1%
54-55°F
1%
56-57°F
2%
58°F or higher
96%
58°F or higher 96.0%
56-57°F 2.1%
54-55°F 1.0%
52-53°F <1%
$86,229 Vol.
$86,229 Vol.
2026/04/03
39°F or below
$6,124 Vol.
<1%
40-41°F
$4,990 Vol.
<1%
42-43°F
$4,848 Vol.
<1%
44-45°F
$6,381 Vol.
<1%
46-47°F
$5,702 Vol.
<1%
48-49°F
$12,641 Vol.
<1%
50-51°F
$18,764 Vol.
<1%
52-53°F
$5,585 Vol.
1%
54-55°F
$6,948 Vol.
1%
56-57°F
$6,176 Vol.
2%
58°F or higher
$8,068 Vol.
96%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service observations confirm Chicago-area temperatures have already climbed to 69°F at Midway Airport this morning under mostly cloudy, breezy conditions, propelling trader consensus to a 95.3% implied probability for a highest temperature of 58°F or higher at O'Hare International Airport (KORD) on April 3. This positioning reflects strong warm air advection from southerly winds ahead of an advancing warm front, aligning with the latest NOAA Global Forecast System and ECMWF model runs projecting daytime highs in the upper 50s to low 70s despite expanding cloud cover. Historical April normals hover around 54°F, but current synoptic patterns favor above-average warmth. Realistic challenges include prolonged thunderstorm activity suppressing late-day peaks or minor station-specific measurement discrepancies, though official KORD data—finalized post-midnight—faces low revision risk given mid-morning readings. Traders await hourly updates through evening severe weather risks.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Mar 29, 2026, 3:03 PM ET
音量
$86,229終了日
2026/04/03マーケット開始日
Mar 29, 2026, 3:03 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service observations confirm Chicago-area temperatures have already climbed to 69°F at Midway Airport this morning under mostly cloudy, breezy conditions, propelling trader consensus to a 95.3% implied probability for a highest temperature of 58°F or higher at O'Hare International Airport (KORD) on April 3. This positioning reflects strong warm air advection from southerly winds ahead of an advancing warm front, aligning with the latest NOAA Global Forecast System and ECMWF model runs projecting daytime highs in the upper 50s to low 70s despite expanding cloud cover. Historical April normals hover around 54°F, but current synoptic patterns favor above-average warmth. Realistic challenges include prolonged thunderstorm activity suppressing late-day peaks or minor station-specific measurement discrepancies, though official KORD data—finalized post-midnight—faces low revision risk given mid-morning readings. Traders await hourly updates through evening severe weather risks.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$86,229終了日
2026/04/03マーケット開始日
Mar 29, 2026, 3:03 PM ETNational Weather Service observations confirm Chicago-area temperatures have already climbed to 69°F at Midway Airport this morning under mostly cloudy, breezy conditions, propelling trader consensus to a 95.3% implied probability for a highest temperature of 58°F or higher at O'Hare International Airport (KORD) on April 3. This positioning reflects strong warm air advection from southerly winds ahead of an advancing warm front, aligning with the latest NOAA Global Forecast System and ECMWF model runs projecting daytime highs in the upper 50s to low 70s despite expanding cloud cover. Historical April normals hover around 54°F, but current synoptic patterns favor above-average warmth. Realistic challenges include prolonged thunderstorm activity suppressing late-day peaks or minor station-specific measurement discrepancies, though official KORD data—finalized post-midnight—faces low revision risk given mid-morning readings. Traders await hourly updates through evening severe weather risks.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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