Latest ensemble forecast models from NOAA and aligned commercial guidance project Chicago's highest temperature on April 6 clustering around 48-51°F under partly cloudy conditions, reflecting trader consensus in the closely matched leading outcomes. This positioning stems from a recent cold frontal passage on April 2-3 ushering northerly winds and a cooler continental air mass, capping highs below the 55.2°F seasonal normal at O'Hare. Differentiating factors include model spread on lingering cloud cover post-thunderstorms, potential Lake Michigan lake breeze reinforcement cooling urban areas by 2-5°F, and diurnal heating variability amid gusty winds. With resolution imminent, watch NWS updates and fresh GFS/ECMWF runs for shifts amid spring's inherent uncertainty.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Chicago on April 6?
Highest temperature in Chicago on April 6?
50-51°F 24%
48-49°F 23%
46-47°F 19%
52-53°F 18%
新規
新規
2026/04/06
41°F or below
1%
42-43°F
1%
44-45°F
9%
46-47°F
19%
48-49°F
23%
50-51°F
24%
52-53°F
18%
54-55°F
15%
56-57°F
7%
58-59°F
7%
60°F or higher
2%
50-51°F 24%
48-49°F 23%
46-47°F 19%
52-53°F 18%
新規
新規
2026/04/06
41°F or below
$720 Vol.
1%
42-43°F
$73 Vol.
1%
44-45°F
$76 Vol.
9%
46-47°F
$97 Vol.
19%
48-49°F
$89 Vol.
23%
50-51°F
$131 Vol.
24%
52-53°F
$116 Vol.
18%
54-55°F
$201 Vol.
15%
56-57°F
$93 Vol.
7%
58-59°F
$256 Vol.
7%
60°F or higher
$907 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecast models from NOAA and aligned commercial guidance project Chicago's highest temperature on April 6 clustering around 48-51°F under partly cloudy conditions, reflecting trader consensus in the closely matched leading outcomes. This positioning stems from a recent cold frontal passage on April 2-3 ushering northerly winds and a cooler continental air mass, capping highs below the 55.2°F seasonal normal at O'Hare. Differentiating factors include model spread on lingering cloud cover post-thunderstorms, potential Lake Michigan lake breeze reinforcement cooling urban areas by 2-5°F, and diurnal heating variability amid gusty winds. With resolution imminent, watch NWS updates and fresh GFS/ECMWF runs for shifts amid spring's inherent uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 2, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
音量
$2,758終了日
2026/04/06マーケット開始日
Apr 2, 2026, 6:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecast models from NOAA and aligned commercial guidance project Chicago's highest temperature on April 6 clustering around 48-51°F under partly cloudy conditions, reflecting trader consensus in the closely matched leading outcomes. This positioning stems from a recent cold frontal passage on April 2-3 ushering northerly winds and a cooler continental air mass, capping highs below the 55.2°F seasonal normal at O'Hare. Differentiating factors include model spread on lingering cloud cover post-thunderstorms, potential Lake Michigan lake breeze reinforcement cooling urban areas by 2-5°F, and diurnal heating variability amid gusty winds. With resolution imminent, watch NWS updates and fresh GFS/ECMWF runs for shifts amid spring's inherent uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$2,758終了日
2026/04/06マーケット開始日
Apr 2, 2026, 6:02 AM ETLatest ensemble forecast models from NOAA and aligned commercial guidance project Chicago's highest temperature on April 6 clustering around 48-51°F under partly cloudy conditions, reflecting trader consensus in the closely matched leading outcomes. This positioning stems from a recent cold frontal passage on April 2-3 ushering northerly winds and a cooler continental air mass, capping highs below the 55.2°F seasonal normal at O'Hare. Differentiating factors include model spread on lingering cloud cover post-thunderstorms, potential Lake Michigan lake breeze reinforcement cooling urban areas by 2-5°F, and diurnal heating variability amid gusty winds. With resolution imminent, watch NWS updates and fresh GFS/ECMWF runs for shifts amid spring's inherent uncertainty.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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