Trader consensus on Polymarket unanimously backs a highest temperature of 59°F or below at LaGuardia Airport station on April 2, driven by official National Weather Service observations confirming a peak in the mid-50s amid persistent northeast winds and overcast skies. This sharp cooldown followed April 1's anomalous 80°F high in nearby Central Park, as a cold air mass advected southward, suppressing daytime heating per NOAA forecast models. Cloudy conditions limited solar insolation, aligning with historical spring whiplash patterns in the Northeast. With measurements finalized in the daily Climatological Report, shifts would require rare sensor recalibration; traders await no further updates as resolution nears.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in NYC on April 2?
Highest temperature in NYC on April 2?
59°F or below 100.0%
60-61°F <1%
62-63°F <1%
64-65°F <1%
$160,982 Vol.
$160,982 Vol.
2026/04/02
59°F or below
Yes
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78°F or higher
No
59°F or below 100.0%
60-61°F <1%
62-63°F <1%
64-65°F <1%
$160,982 Vol.
$160,982 Vol.
2026/04/02
59°F or below
$24,816 Vol.
Yes
60-61°F
$24,295 Vol.
No
62-63°F
$12,503 Vol.
No
64-65°F
$12,239 Vol.
No
66-67°F
$9,335 Vol.
No
68-69°F
$17,515 Vol.
No
70-71°F
$7,208 Vol.
No
72-73°F
$11,396 Vol.
No
74-75°F
$17,813 Vol.
No
76-77°F
$11,159 Vol.
No
78°F or higher
$12,702 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket unanimously backs a highest temperature of 59°F or below at LaGuardia Airport station on April 2, driven by official National Weather Service observations confirming a peak in the mid-50s amid persistent northeast winds and overcast skies. This sharp cooldown followed April 1's anomalous 80°F high in nearby Central Park, as a cold air mass advected southward, suppressing daytime heating per NOAA forecast models. Cloudy conditions limited solar insolation, aligning with historical spring whiplash patterns in the Northeast. With measurements finalized in the daily Climatological Report, shifts would require rare sensor recalibration; traders await no further updates as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Mar 29, 2026, 3:03 PM ET
音量
$160,982終了日
2026/04/02マーケット開始日
Mar 29, 2026, 3:03 PM ET提案された結果: Yes
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket unanimously backs a highest temperature of 59°F or below at LaGuardia Airport station on April 2, driven by official National Weather Service observations confirming a peak in the mid-50s amid persistent northeast winds and overcast skies. This sharp cooldown followed April 1's anomalous 80°F high in nearby Central Park, as a cold air mass advected southward, suppressing daytime heating per NOAA forecast models. Cloudy conditions limited solar insolation, aligning with historical spring whiplash patterns in the Northeast. With measurements finalized in the daily Climatological Report, shifts would require rare sensor recalibration; traders await no further updates as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$160,982終了日
2026/04/02マーケット開始日
Mar 29, 2026, 3:03 PM ET提案された結果: Yes
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: Yes
Trader consensus on Polymarket unanimously backs a highest temperature of 59°F or below at LaGuardia Airport station on April 2, driven by official National Weather Service observations confirming a peak in the mid-50s amid persistent northeast winds and overcast skies. This sharp cooldown followed April 1's anomalous 80°F high in nearby Central Park, as a cold air mass advected southward, suppressing daytime heating per NOAA forecast models. Cloudy conditions limited solar insolation, aligning with historical spring whiplash patterns in the Northeast. With measurements finalized in the daily Climatological Report, shifts would require rare sensor recalibration; traders await no further updates as resolution nears.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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