Trader consensus on Polymarket favors 86-87°F (38.5%) for Austin's highest temperature today, aligning closely with the National Weather Service forecast of near 88°F under mostly cloudy skies and breezy southeast winds at 10-15 mph. Following March 2026's record-warm average of 70.8°F—with seven 90°F days—persistent upper-level ridging continues advecting humid Gulf air, as evidenced by yesterday's 87°F high at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport. Increasing low-level moisture introduces 40% shower chances mainly before 1 p.m., potentially capping peaks via cloud cover, while drier conditions later support the upper-80s cluster over hotter 90+ outcomes. Model consensus (GFS, NAM) shows limited upside risk before an approaching front cools the weekend; monitor hourly observations for intraday shifts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Austin on April 3?
Highest temperature in Austin on April 3?
86-87°F 41%
84-85°F 30%
88-89°F 20%
82-83°F 8%
$21,797 Vol.
$21,797 Vol.
2026/04/03
75°F or below
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
8%
84-85°F
30%
86-87°F
41%
88-89°F
20%
90-91°F
3%
92-93°F
1%
94°F or higher
<1%
86-87°F 41%
84-85°F 30%
88-89°F 20%
82-83°F 8%
$21,797 Vol.
$21,797 Vol.
2026/04/03
75°F or below
$2,949 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$3,418 Vol.
<1%
78-79°F
$714 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$1,635 Vol.
1%
82-83°F
$1,143 Vol.
8%
84-85°F
$1,447 Vol.
30%
86-87°F
$2,375 Vol.
41%
88-89°F
$3,009 Vol.
20%
90-91°F
$1,837 Vol.
3%
92-93°F
$1,804 Vol.
1%
94°F or higher
$1,476 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors 86-87°F (38.5%) for Austin's highest temperature today, aligning closely with the National Weather Service forecast of near 88°F under mostly cloudy skies and breezy southeast winds at 10-15 mph. Following March 2026's record-warm average of 70.8°F—with seven 90°F days—persistent upper-level ridging continues advecting humid Gulf air, as evidenced by yesterday's 87°F high at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport. Increasing low-level moisture introduces 40% shower chances mainly before 1 p.m., potentially capping peaks via cloud cover, while drier conditions later support the upper-80s cluster over hotter 90+ outcomes. Model consensus (GFS, NAM) shows limited upside risk before an approaching front cools the weekend; monitor hourly observations for intraday shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Mar 29, 2026, 3:05 PM ET
音量
$21,797終了日
2026/04/03マーケット開始日
Mar 29, 2026, 3:05 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors 86-87°F (38.5%) for Austin's highest temperature today, aligning closely with the National Weather Service forecast of near 88°F under mostly cloudy skies and breezy southeast winds at 10-15 mph. Following March 2026's record-warm average of 70.8°F—with seven 90°F days—persistent upper-level ridging continues advecting humid Gulf air, as evidenced by yesterday's 87°F high at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport. Increasing low-level moisture introduces 40% shower chances mainly before 1 p.m., potentially capping peaks via cloud cover, while drier conditions later support the upper-80s cluster over hotter 90+ outcomes. Model consensus (GFS, NAM) shows limited upside risk before an approaching front cools the weekend; monitor hourly observations for intraday shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$21,797終了日
2026/04/03マーケット開始日
Mar 29, 2026, 3:05 PM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket favors 86-87°F (38.5%) for Austin's highest temperature today, aligning closely with the National Weather Service forecast of near 88°F under mostly cloudy skies and breezy southeast winds at 10-15 mph. Following March 2026's record-warm average of 70.8°F—with seven 90°F days—persistent upper-level ridging continues advecting humid Gulf air, as evidenced by yesterday's 87°F high at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport. Increasing low-level moisture introduces 40% shower chances mainly before 1 p.m., potentially capping peaks via cloud cover, while drier conditions later support the upper-80s cluster over hotter 90+ outcomes. Model consensus (GFS, NAM) shows limited upside risk before an approaching front cools the weekend; monitor hourly observations for intraday shifts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問