Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 20°C in Wuhan on April 3, driven by the latest short-range forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA), relayed via the Hong Kong Observatory, which project a daytime high of 22°C under persistent overcast conditions at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport—the market's resolution station. Morning observations around 15°C, combined with dense cloud cover limiting solar heating, align with model ensembles indicating limited warming potential, consistent with early April climatology where highs average 18–21°C. This skin-in-the-game positioning reflects high confidence in observational data over broader monthly averages. Realistic challenges include unexpected partial clearing allowing brief insolation spikes to push toward 21–22°C, or prolonged fog capping at 19°C, with final airport readings expected via Wunderground by day's end.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 3?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 3?
20°C 99.7%
21°C <1%
19°C <1%
22°C <1%
$76,538 Vol.
$76,538 Vol.
2026/04/03
19°C
<1%
20°C
100%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
20°C 99.7%
21°C <1%
19°C <1%
22°C <1%
$76,538 Vol.
$76,538 Vol.
2026/04/03
19°C
$13,553 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$9,131 Vol.
100%
21°C
$9,539 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$7,819 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$6,068 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$6,162 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$2,771 Vol.
<1%
26°C or higher
$3,192 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 20°C in Wuhan on April 3, driven by the latest short-range forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA), relayed via the Hong Kong Observatory, which project a daytime high of 22°C under persistent overcast conditions at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport—the market's resolution station. Morning observations around 15°C, combined with dense cloud cover limiting solar heating, align with model ensembles indicating limited warming potential, consistent with early April climatology where highs average 18–21°C. This skin-in-the-game positioning reflects high confidence in observational data over broader monthly averages. Realistic challenges include unexpected partial clearing allowing brief insolation spikes to push toward 21–22°C, or prolonged fog capping at 19°C, with final airport readings expected via Wunderground by day's end.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Mar 29, 2026, 3:57 PM ET
音量
$76,538終了日
2026/04/03マーケット開始日
Mar 29, 2026, 3:57 PM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てウィンドウ
最終
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 20°C in Wuhan on April 3, driven by the latest short-range forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA), relayed via the Hong Kong Observatory, which project a daytime high of 22°C under persistent overcast conditions at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport—the market's resolution station. Morning observations around 15°C, combined with dense cloud cover limiting solar heating, align with model ensembles indicating limited warming potential, consistent with early April climatology where highs average 18–21°C. This skin-in-the-game positioning reflects high confidence in observational data over broader monthly averages. Realistic challenges include unexpected partial clearing allowing brief insolation spikes to push toward 21–22°C, or prolonged fog capping at 19°C, with final airport readings expected via Wunderground by day's end.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$76,538終了日
2026/04/03マーケット開始日
Mar 29, 2026, 3:57 PM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てウィンドウ
最終
Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 20°C in Wuhan on April 3, driven by the latest short-range forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA), relayed via the Hong Kong Observatory, which project a daytime high of 22°C under persistent overcast conditions at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport—the market's resolution station. Morning observations around 15°C, combined with dense cloud cover limiting solar heating, align with model ensembles indicating limited warming potential, consistent with early April climatology where highs average 18–21°C. This skin-in-the-game positioning reflects high confidence in observational data over broader monthly averages. Realistic challenges include unexpected partial clearing allowing brief insolation spikes to push toward 21–22°C, or prolonged fog capping at 19°C, with final airport readings expected via Wunderground by day's end.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問