Météo-France's latest forecast projects a maximum temperature of 13°C at Paris Charles de Gaulle Airport today, aligning with trader consensus at 91% market-implied probability and driving the dominant positioning amid cloudy conditions from a lingering low-pressure system over northern Europe. Current observations show daytime highs hovering at 12-13°C with limited solar insolation due to persistent overcast skies and cool northerly winds, corroborated by ECMWF and GFS model consensus capping warming below 14°C—consistent with early April climatology where averages rarely exceed 15°C. This strong scientific agreement reflects subdued atmospheric instability, though an unlikely afternoon clearing could enable brief solar heating to challenge the peak toward 14°C before evening cooldown. Hourly updates from official stations will refine the outlook as the resolution window closes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Paris on April 3?
Highest temperature in Paris on April 3?
13°C 94.8%
14°C 9%
15°C 1.7%
16°C <1%
$169,536 Vol.
$169,536 Vol.
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
95%
14°C
9%
15°C
2%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
13°C 94.8%
14°C 9%
15°C 1.7%
16°C <1%
$169,536 Vol.
$169,536 Vol.
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
95%
14°C
9%
15°C
2%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Mar 29, 2026, 4:19 PM ET
提案された結果: No
異議申し立てウィンドウ
最終
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
提案された結果: No
異議申し立てウィンドウ
最終
Météo-France's latest forecast projects a maximum temperature of 13°C at Paris Charles de Gaulle Airport today, aligning with trader consensus at 91% market-implied probability and driving the dominant positioning amid cloudy conditions from a lingering low-pressure system over northern Europe. Current observations show daytime highs hovering at 12-13°C with limited solar insolation due to persistent overcast skies and cool northerly winds, corroborated by ECMWF and GFS model consensus capping warming below 14°C—consistent with early April climatology where averages rarely exceed 15°C. This strong scientific agreement reflects subdued atmospheric instability, though an unlikely afternoon clearing could enable brief solar heating to challenge the peak toward 14°C before evening cooldown. Hourly updates from official stations will refine the outlook as the resolution window closes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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