Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 12°C (43.5% implied probability) and 11°C (32.5%) as Ankara's highest temperature on April 3, reflecting the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble mean projections of midday highs around 11-12°C at Esenboğa International Airport station amid persistent cloud cover and isolated thunderstorms. Recent observations show current mist and temperatures near 6°C, with an incoming cooler air mass over central Turkey—linked to broader stormy patterns including risks of hail and heavy rain—suppressing peaks well below early April climatological averages of 15-16°C. Ensemble spreads highlight uncertainty from potential cloud thinning or wind shifts, with updated model runs expected later today ahead of hourly observations resolving the market.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Ankara on April 3?
Highest temperature in Ankara on April 3?
12°C 44%
11°C 39%
13°C 16%
14°C 3.6%
$68,389 Vol.
$68,389 Vol.
2026/04/03
11°C
39%
12°C
44%
13°C
16%
14°C
4%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C or higher
1%
12°C 44%
11°C 39%
13°C 16%
14°C 3.6%
$68,389 Vol.
$68,389 Vol.
2026/04/03
11°C
$5,414 Vol.
39%
12°C
$2,728 Vol.
44%
13°C
$3,908 Vol.
16%
14°C
$4,313 Vol.
4%
15°C
$4,227 Vol.
1%
16°C
$2,860 Vol.
1%
17°C or higher
$5,808 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 12°C (43.5% implied probability) and 11°C (32.5%) as Ankara's highest temperature on April 3, reflecting the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble mean projections of midday highs around 11-12°C at Esenboğa International Airport station amid persistent cloud cover and isolated thunderstorms. Recent observations show current mist and temperatures near 6°C, with an incoming cooler air mass over central Turkey—linked to broader stormy patterns including risks of hail and heavy rain—suppressing peaks well below early April climatological averages of 15-16°C. Ensemble spreads highlight uncertainty from potential cloud thinning or wind shifts, with updated model runs expected later today ahead of hourly observations resolving the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Mar 29, 2026, 4:05 PM ET
音量
$68,389終了日
2026/04/03マーケット開始日
Mar 29, 2026, 4:05 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 12°C (43.5% implied probability) and 11°C (32.5%) as Ankara's highest temperature on April 3, reflecting the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble mean projections of midday highs around 11-12°C at Esenboğa International Airport station amid persistent cloud cover and isolated thunderstorms. Recent observations show current mist and temperatures near 6°C, with an incoming cooler air mass over central Turkey—linked to broader stormy patterns including risks of hail and heavy rain—suppressing peaks well below early April climatological averages of 15-16°C. Ensemble spreads highlight uncertainty from potential cloud thinning or wind shifts, with updated model runs expected later today ahead of hourly observations resolving the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$68,389終了日
2026/04/03マーケット開始日
Mar 29, 2026, 4:05 PM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 12°C (43.5% implied probability) and 11°C (32.5%) as Ankara's highest temperature on April 3, reflecting the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble mean projections of midday highs around 11-12°C at Esenboğa International Airport station amid persistent cloud cover and isolated thunderstorms. Recent observations show current mist and temperatures near 6°C, with an incoming cooler air mass over central Turkey—linked to broader stormy patterns including risks of hail and heavy rain—suppressing peaks well below early April climatological averages of 15-16°C. Ensemble spreads highlight uncertainty from potential cloud thinning or wind shifts, with updated model runs expected later today ahead of hourly observations resolving the market.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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