Official observations from Roshydromet meteorological stations in Moscow confirm the daytime high temperature reached 11°C on April 2, 2026, aligning with trader consensus at virtually 100% implied probability for this outcome. This positioning stems from the past 24 hours' influx of cooler northerly air masses following March's record warmth—averaging 5.7°C, the highest in 247 years—coupled with persistent cloud cover and light rain suppressing solar heating, as shown in latest ECMWF and GFS model runs converging on 10–12°C peaks. Historical early April highs average 9–11°C, providing baseline support. Realistic challenges include late-afternoon clearing yielding a brief 1°C spike at a peripheral station before official close-of-day reporting, though declining solar angle and strengthening winds make this improbable; final data from the Moscow State University observatory will solidify resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Moscow on April 2?
Highest temperature in Moscow on April 2?
11°C 100.0%
$134,660 Vol.
$134,660 Vol.
2026/04/02
11°C
100%
11°C 100.0%
$134,660 Vol.
$134,660 Vol.
2026/04/02
11°C
$17,315 Vol.
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Roshydromet meteorological stations in Moscow confirm the daytime high temperature reached 11°C on April 2, 2026, aligning with trader consensus at virtually 100% implied probability for this outcome. This positioning stems from the past 24 hours' influx of cooler northerly air masses following March's record warmth—averaging 5.7°C, the highest in 247 years—coupled with persistent cloud cover and light rain suppressing solar heating, as shown in latest ECMWF and GFS model runs converging on 10–12°C peaks. Historical early April highs average 9–11°C, providing baseline support. Realistic challenges include late-afternoon clearing yielding a brief 1°C spike at a peripheral station before official close-of-day reporting, though declining solar angle and strengthening winds make this improbable; final data from the Moscow State University observatory will solidify resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Mar 29, 2026, 4:25 PM ET
音量
$134,660終了日
2026/04/02マーケット開始日
Mar 29, 2026, 4:25 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: Yes
異議申し立てウィンドウ
最終
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Roshydromet meteorological stations in Moscow confirm the daytime high temperature reached 11°C on April 2, 2026, aligning with trader consensus at virtually 100% implied probability for this outcome. This positioning stems from the past 24 hours' influx of cooler northerly air masses following March's record warmth—averaging 5.7°C, the highest in 247 years—coupled with persistent cloud cover and light rain suppressing solar heating, as shown in latest ECMWF and GFS model runs converging on 10–12°C peaks. Historical early April highs average 9–11°C, providing baseline support. Realistic challenges include late-afternoon clearing yielding a brief 1°C spike at a peripheral station before official close-of-day reporting, though declining solar angle and strengthening winds make this improbable; final data from the Moscow State University observatory will solidify resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$134,660終了日
2026/04/02マーケット開始日
Mar 29, 2026, 4:25 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: Yes
異議申し立てウィンドウ
最終
Official observations from Roshydromet meteorological stations in Moscow confirm the daytime high temperature reached 11°C on April 2, 2026, aligning with trader consensus at virtually 100% implied probability for this outcome. This positioning stems from the past 24 hours' influx of cooler northerly air masses following March's record warmth—averaging 5.7°C, the highest in 247 years—coupled with persistent cloud cover and light rain suppressing solar heating, as shown in latest ECMWF and GFS model runs converging on 10–12°C peaks. Historical early April highs average 9–11°C, providing baseline support. Realistic challenges include late-afternoon clearing yielding a brief 1°C spike at a peripheral station before official close-of-day reporting, though declining solar angle and strengthening winds make this improbable; final data from the Moscow State University observatory will solidify resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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