Tight competition between 19°C (36%) and 20°C or higher (33.7%) reflects divergent short-range forecast models for Beijing's highest temperature on April 6, with China Meteorological Administration guidance clustering around 18-19°C amid a mild early spring pattern, while ECMWF ensembles allow for 20°C+ under reduced cloud cover and southerly winds. Recent observations show highs of 19°C on April 4, following a warm late-March trend averaging 20°C, but a weak upper-level trough risks capping peaks at 18°C via increased northerly flow. Historical early April averages hover at 17-19°C (Saffir-Simpson irrelevant here), with urban heat island effects adding 1-2°C; traders await 00Z GFS/ECMWF updates for resolution clarity from official Beijing station data.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Beijing on April 6?
Highest temperature in Beijing on April 6?
19°C 34%
20°C or higher 33.0%
18°C 18%
17°C 10%
$10,139 Vol.
$10,139 Vol.
2026/04/06
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
2%
15°C
3%
16°C
5%
17°C
10%
18°C
18%
19°C
34%
20°C or higher
33%
19°C 34%
20°C or higher 33.0%
18°C 18%
17°C 10%
$10,139 Vol.
$10,139 Vol.
2026/04/06
10°C or below
$521 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$1,110 Vol.
1%
12°C
$1,176 Vol.
1%
13°C
$1,871 Vol.
1%
14°C
$1,562 Vol.
2%
15°C
$537 Vol.
3%
16°C
$763 Vol.
5%
17°C
$446 Vol.
10%
18°C
$538 Vol.
18%
19°C
$418 Vol.
34%
20°C or higher
$1,198 Vol.
33%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Tight competition between 19°C (36%) and 20°C or higher (33.7%) reflects divergent short-range forecast models for Beijing's highest temperature on April 6, with China Meteorological Administration guidance clustering around 18-19°C amid a mild early spring pattern, while ECMWF ensembles allow for 20°C+ under reduced cloud cover and southerly winds. Recent observations show highs of 19°C on April 4, following a warm late-March trend averaging 20°C, but a weak upper-level trough risks capping peaks at 18°C via increased northerly flow. Historical early April averages hover at 17-19°C (Saffir-Simpson irrelevant here), with urban heat island effects adding 1-2°C; traders await 00Z GFS/ECMWF updates for resolution clarity from official Beijing station data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 2, 2026, 6:31 AM ET
音量
$10,139終了日
2026/04/06マーケット開始日
Apr 2, 2026, 6:31 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Tight competition between 19°C (36%) and 20°C or higher (33.7%) reflects divergent short-range forecast models for Beijing's highest temperature on April 6, with China Meteorological Administration guidance clustering around 18-19°C amid a mild early spring pattern, while ECMWF ensembles allow for 20°C+ under reduced cloud cover and southerly winds. Recent observations show highs of 19°C on April 4, following a warm late-March trend averaging 20°C, but a weak upper-level trough risks capping peaks at 18°C via increased northerly flow. Historical early April averages hover at 17-19°C (Saffir-Simpson irrelevant here), with urban heat island effects adding 1-2°C; traders await 00Z GFS/ECMWF updates for resolution clarity from official Beijing station data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$10,139終了日
2026/04/06マーケット開始日
Apr 2, 2026, 6:31 AM ETTight competition between 19°C (36%) and 20°C or higher (33.7%) reflects divergent short-range forecast models for Beijing's highest temperature on April 6, with China Meteorological Administration guidance clustering around 18-19°C amid a mild early spring pattern, while ECMWF ensembles allow for 20°C+ under reduced cloud cover and southerly winds. Recent observations show highs of 19°C on April 4, following a warm late-March trend averaging 20°C, but a weak upper-level trough risks capping peaks at 18°C via increased northerly flow. Historical early April averages hover at 17-19°C (Saffir-Simpson irrelevant here), with urban heat island effects adding 1-2°C; traders await 00Z GFS/ECMWF updates for resolution clarity from official Beijing station data.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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