Latest China Meteorological Administration forecasts, relayed via the World Meteorological Organization, project a high of 19°C for Beijing on April 5 under clear skies, aligning with ECMWF and GFS ensemble means of 19–21°C and driving trader consensus around 18–20°C outcomes. Recent observations confirm stable mild spring conditions, with April 1 reaching 17°C amid clouds and April 2 near 20°C, fostering a slight cooling trend from a brief peak on April 3. Differentiating factors include model spreads on low-level southerly winds and residual haze, potentially boosting peaks to 20–21°C with stronger insolation or capping at 18°C under increased mixing; April's climatological mean maximum is 19.9°C. New runs expected daily as resolution nears at Beijing Capital International Airport station.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日4月5日の北京の最高気温は?
4月5日の北京の最高気温は?
20℃ 26%
18°C 20%
19℃ 15%
21°C 15%
13℃以下
1%
14℃
2%
15℃
7%
16℃
8%
17°C
14%
18°C
24%
19℃
15%
20℃
25%
21°C
15%
22℃
8%
23°C以上
2%
20℃ 26%
18°C 20%
19℃ 15%
21°C 15%
13℃以下
1%
14℃
2%
15℃
7%
16℃
8%
17°C
14%
18°C
24%
19℃
15%
20℃
25%
21°C
15%
22℃
8%
23°C以上
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Apr 1, 2026, 6:06 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Latest China Meteorological Administration forecasts, relayed via the World Meteorological Organization, project a high of 19°C for Beijing on April 5 under clear skies, aligning with ECMWF and GFS ensemble means of 19–21°C and driving trader consensus around 18–20°C outcomes. Recent observations confirm stable mild spring conditions, with April 1 reaching 17°C amid clouds and April 2 near 20°C, fostering a slight cooling trend from a brief peak on April 3. Differentiating factors include model spreads on low-level southerly winds and residual haze, potentially boosting peaks to 20–21°C with stronger insolation or capping at 18°C under increased mixing; April's climatological mean maximum is 19.9°C. New runs expected daily as resolution nears at Beijing Capital International Airport station.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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