Latest Central Weather Administration forecasts and ensemble model runs from ECMWF and GFS project Taipei's highest temperature on April 6 at 27-29°C, driving trader consensus toward closely bunched outcomes around 26-28°C with 26% implied probability for 28°C. This follows a cold front ushering cooler conditions and heavy showers through April 5 (highs dipping to 22°C), with post-frontal clearing and building high pressure expected to boost daytime insolation and temperatures back to early April climatological norms of 24-27°C. Differentiating factors include lingering cloud cover suppressing peaks below 27°C, potential for southerly sea breezes moderating warmth, and urban heat island effects at the official Songshan station possibly nudging toward 28°C; daily CWA updates and new model cycles through April 5 could refine this uncertainty.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Taipei on April 6?
Highest temperature in Taipei on April 6?
28°C 26%
27°C 22%
26°C 20%
30°C or higher 14%
新規
新規
2026/04/06
20°C or below
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
5%
23°C
3%
24°C
8%
25°C
14%
26°C
20%
27°C
22%
28°C
26%
29°C
11%
30°C or higher
14%
28°C 26%
27°C 22%
26°C 20%
30°C or higher 14%
新規
新規
2026/04/06
20°C or below
$363 Vol.
1%
21°C
$639 Vol.
2%
22°C
$304 Vol.
5%
23°C
$83 Vol.
3%
24°C
$35 Vol.
8%
25°C
$77 Vol.
14%
26°C
$87 Vol.
20%
27°C
$19 Vol.
22%
28°C
$32 Vol.
26%
29°C
$25 Vol.
11%
30°C or higher
$261 Vol.
14%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Central Weather Administration forecasts and ensemble model runs from ECMWF and GFS project Taipei's highest temperature on April 6 at 27-29°C, driving trader consensus toward closely bunched outcomes around 26-28°C with 26% implied probability for 28°C. This follows a cold front ushering cooler conditions and heavy showers through April 5 (highs dipping to 22°C), with post-frontal clearing and building high pressure expected to boost daytime insolation and temperatures back to early April climatological norms of 24-27°C. Differentiating factors include lingering cloud cover suppressing peaks below 27°C, potential for southerly sea breezes moderating warmth, and urban heat island effects at the official Songshan station possibly nudging toward 28°C; daily CWA updates and new model cycles through April 5 could refine this uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 2, 2026, 6:14 AM ET
音量
$1,927終了日
2026/04/06マーケット開始日
Apr 2, 2026, 6:14 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Central Weather Administration forecasts and ensemble model runs from ECMWF and GFS project Taipei's highest temperature on April 6 at 27-29°C, driving trader consensus toward closely bunched outcomes around 26-28°C with 26% implied probability for 28°C. This follows a cold front ushering cooler conditions and heavy showers through April 5 (highs dipping to 22°C), with post-frontal clearing and building high pressure expected to boost daytime insolation and temperatures back to early April climatological norms of 24-27°C. Differentiating factors include lingering cloud cover suppressing peaks below 27°C, potential for southerly sea breezes moderating warmth, and urban heat island effects at the official Songshan station possibly nudging toward 28°C; daily CWA updates and new model cycles through April 5 could refine this uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$1,927終了日
2026/04/06マーケット開始日
Apr 2, 2026, 6:14 AM ETLatest Central Weather Administration forecasts and ensemble model runs from ECMWF and GFS project Taipei's highest temperature on April 6 at 27-29°C, driving trader consensus toward closely bunched outcomes around 26-28°C with 26% implied probability for 28°C. This follows a cold front ushering cooler conditions and heavy showers through April 5 (highs dipping to 22°C), with post-frontal clearing and building high pressure expected to boost daytime insolation and temperatures back to early April climatological norms of 24-27°C. Differentiating factors include lingering cloud cover suppressing peaks below 27°C, potential for southerly sea breezes moderating warmth, and urban heat island effects at the official Songshan station possibly nudging toward 28°C; daily CWA updates and new model cycles through April 5 could refine this uncertainty.
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