National Weather Service forecasts for Miami International Airport indicate a high near 81°F today under partly sunny skies with east winds of 10-14 mph and a slight chance of afternoon showers, driving trader consensus toward 82-83°F at 63% implied probability—slightly warmer than the point forecast but aligning precisely with the April 3 climatological normal of 82°F. This positioning reflects model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF clustering in the 78-85°F range, influenced by mild morning temperatures around 75°F, persistent sea breeze moderation, and neutral ENSO conditions favoring typical early April warmth. Lower probabilities for 80-81°F (17.5%) or higher bins stem from historical data showing rare deviations beyond 85°F this date, with resolution hinging on official MIA observations amid diurnal heating uncertainty; monitor hourly updates through late afternoon.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Miami on April 3?
Highest temperature in Miami on April 3?
82-83°F 58%
80-81°F 16%
84-85°F 16%
78-79°F 3.2%
$71,125 Vol.
$71,125 Vol.
2026/04/03
71°F or below
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
3%
78-79°F
3%
80-81°F
16%
82-83°F
58%
84-85°F
16%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F or higher
<1%
82-83°F 58%
80-81°F 16%
84-85°F 16%
78-79°F 3.2%
$71,125 Vol.
$71,125 Vol.
2026/04/03
71°F or below
$7,627 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$13,242 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$4,823 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$10,147 Vol.
3%
78-79°F
$8,472 Vol.
3%
80-81°F
$6,181 Vol.
16%
82-83°F
$8,265 Vol.
58%
84-85°F
$3,715 Vol.
16%
86-87°F
$3,083 Vol.
1%
88-89°F
$2,392 Vol.
<1%
90°F or higher
$3,267 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts for Miami International Airport indicate a high near 81°F today under partly sunny skies with east winds of 10-14 mph and a slight chance of afternoon showers, driving trader consensus toward 82-83°F at 63% implied probability—slightly warmer than the point forecast but aligning precisely with the April 3 climatological normal of 82°F. This positioning reflects model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF clustering in the 78-85°F range, influenced by mild morning temperatures around 75°F, persistent sea breeze moderation, and neutral ENSO conditions favoring typical early April warmth. Lower probabilities for 80-81°F (17.5%) or higher bins stem from historical data showing rare deviations beyond 85°F this date, with resolution hinging on official MIA observations amid diurnal heating uncertainty; monitor hourly updates through late afternoon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Mar 29, 2026, 5:09 PM ET
音量
$71,125終了日
2026/04/03マーケット開始日
Mar 29, 2026, 5:09 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts for Miami International Airport indicate a high near 81°F today under partly sunny skies with east winds of 10-14 mph and a slight chance of afternoon showers, driving trader consensus toward 82-83°F at 63% implied probability—slightly warmer than the point forecast but aligning precisely with the April 3 climatological normal of 82°F. This positioning reflects model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF clustering in the 78-85°F range, influenced by mild morning temperatures around 75°F, persistent sea breeze moderation, and neutral ENSO conditions favoring typical early April warmth. Lower probabilities for 80-81°F (17.5%) or higher bins stem from historical data showing rare deviations beyond 85°F this date, with resolution hinging on official MIA observations amid diurnal heating uncertainty; monitor hourly updates through late afternoon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$71,125終了日
2026/04/03マーケット開始日
Mar 29, 2026, 5:09 PM ETNational Weather Service forecasts for Miami International Airport indicate a high near 81°F today under partly sunny skies with east winds of 10-14 mph and a slight chance of afternoon showers, driving trader consensus toward 82-83°F at 63% implied probability—slightly warmer than the point forecast but aligning precisely with the April 3 climatological normal of 82°F. This positioning reflects model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF clustering in the 78-85°F range, influenced by mild morning temperatures around 75°F, persistent sea breeze moderation, and neutral ENSO conditions favoring typical early April warmth. Lower probabilities for 80-81°F (17.5%) or higher bins stem from historical data showing rare deviations beyond 85°F this date, with resolution hinging on official MIA observations amid diurnal heating uncertainty; monitor hourly updates through late afternoon.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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