Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects deep uncertainty in Jakarta's highest temperature on April 4, with market-implied odds evenly split at 50% for 34°C, 36°C, and 38°C or higher amid an early dry season transition. BMKG's latest forecast, updated April 2, predicts light rain across all districts—Jakarta Pusat, Selatan, Timur, Barat, Utara, and Kepulauan Seribu—with maximums of 29–30°C, capping solar heating under overcast skies and high humidity (72–98%). This tempers bets after March's record 35.6°C spikes from minimal cloud cover, but differentiates higher outcomes via potential clearing, urban heat island amplification in concrete-dense areas, and weak sea breezes limiting cooling. New BMKG updates today and official station measurements (e.g., Kemayoran) will sharpen resolution amid model divergences.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Jakarta on April 4?
Highest temperature in Jakarta on April 4?
30°C 26%
31°C 26%
32°C 26%
33°C 26%
新規
新規
2026/04/04
28°C or below
2%
29°C
12%
30°C
26%
31°C
26%
32°C
26%
33°C
26%
34°C
26%
35°C
12%
36°C
26%
37°C
25%
38°C or higher
2%
30°C 26%
31°C 26%
32°C 26%
33°C 26%
新規
新規
2026/04/04
28°C or below
$0 Vol.
2%
29°C
$0 Vol.
12%
30°C
$0 Vol.
26%
31°C
$0 Vol.
26%
32°C
$0 Vol.
26%
33°C
$0 Vol.
26%
34°C
$0 Vol.
26%
35°C
$0 Vol.
12%
36°C
$0 Vol.
26%
37°C
$170 Vol.
25%
38°C or higher
$0 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects deep uncertainty in Jakarta's highest temperature on April 4, with market-implied odds evenly split at 50% for 34°C, 36°C, and 38°C or higher amid an early dry season transition. BMKG's latest forecast, updated April 2, predicts light rain across all districts—Jakarta Pusat, Selatan, Timur, Barat, Utara, and Kepulauan Seribu—with maximums of 29–30°C, capping solar heating under overcast skies and high humidity (72–98%). This tempers bets after March's record 35.6°C spikes from minimal cloud cover, but differentiates higher outcomes via potential clearing, urban heat island amplification in concrete-dense areas, and weak sea breezes limiting cooling. New BMKG updates today and official station measurements (e.g., Kemayoran) will sharpen resolution amid model divergences.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 2, 2026, 9:07 PM ET
音量
$170終了日
2026/04/04マーケット開始日
Apr 2, 2026, 9:07 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects deep uncertainty in Jakarta's highest temperature on April 4, with market-implied odds evenly split at 50% for 34°C, 36°C, and 38°C or higher amid an early dry season transition. BMKG's latest forecast, updated April 2, predicts light rain across all districts—Jakarta Pusat, Selatan, Timur, Barat, Utara, and Kepulauan Seribu—with maximums of 29–30°C, capping solar heating under overcast skies and high humidity (72–98%). This tempers bets after March's record 35.6°C spikes from minimal cloud cover, but differentiates higher outcomes via potential clearing, urban heat island amplification in concrete-dense areas, and weak sea breezes limiting cooling. New BMKG updates today and official station measurements (e.g., Kemayoran) will sharpen resolution amid model divergences.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$170終了日
2026/04/04マーケット開始日
Apr 2, 2026, 9:07 PM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket reflects deep uncertainty in Jakarta's highest temperature on April 4, with market-implied odds evenly split at 50% for 34°C, 36°C, and 38°C or higher amid an early dry season transition. BMKG's latest forecast, updated April 2, predicts light rain across all districts—Jakarta Pusat, Selatan, Timur, Barat, Utara, and Kepulauan Seribu—with maximums of 29–30°C, capping solar heating under overcast skies and high humidity (72–98%). This tempers bets after March's record 35.6°C spikes from minimal cloud cover, but differentiates higher outcomes via potential clearing, urban heat island amplification in concrete-dense areas, and weak sea breezes limiting cooling. New BMKG updates today and official station measurements (e.g., Kemayoran) will sharpen resolution amid model divergences.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問