Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects National Weather Service guidance for a rebound to the low-to-mid 60s°F at LaGuardia Airport (KLGA) on April 3, driven by warm air advection following yesterday's cold front passage, which brought chilly highs in the 40s, drizzle, and sleet under persistent easterly winds. Model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF show highs clustering 60-67°F, with close odds between 60-61°F (22.5%), 62-63°F (23%), 64-65°F (18%), and 66-67°F (18%) hinging on cloud cover extent—persistent overcast could cap peaks near 60°F, while afternoon breaks foster 2-4°F gains via increased insolation and boundary-layer mixing. Above-normal temps (climatological April 3 high ~56°F) face downside risk from lingering low clouds; hourly KLGA observations will clarify as the day progresses.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in NYC on April 3?
Highest temperature in NYC on April 3?
60-61°F 22%
62-63°F 22%
64-65°F 20%
66-67°F 19%
$120,517 Vol.
$120,517 Vol.
2026/04/03
59°F or below
10%
60-61°F
22%
62-63°F
22%
64-65°F
20%
66-67°F
19%
68-69°F
8%
70-71°F
2%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
1%
78°F or higher
1%
60-61°F 22%
62-63°F 22%
64-65°F 20%
66-67°F 19%
$120,517 Vol.
$120,517 Vol.
2026/04/03
59°F or below
$24,407 Vol.
10%
60-61°F
$9,797 Vol.
22%
62-63°F
$9,808 Vol.
22%
64-65°F
$9,062 Vol.
20%
66-67°F
$7,247 Vol.
19%
68-69°F
$10,953 Vol.
8%
70-71°F
$11,845 Vol.
2%
72-73°F
$10,832 Vol.
1%
74-75°F
$7,522 Vol.
1%
76-77°F
$12,174 Vol.
1%
78°F or higher
$6,877 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects National Weather Service guidance for a rebound to the low-to-mid 60s°F at LaGuardia Airport (KLGA) on April 3, driven by warm air advection following yesterday's cold front passage, which brought chilly highs in the 40s, drizzle, and sleet under persistent easterly winds. Model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF show highs clustering 60-67°F, with close odds between 60-61°F (22.5%), 62-63°F (23%), 64-65°F (18%), and 66-67°F (18%) hinging on cloud cover extent—persistent overcast could cap peaks near 60°F, while afternoon breaks foster 2-4°F gains via increased insolation and boundary-layer mixing. Above-normal temps (climatological April 3 high ~56°F) face downside risk from lingering low clouds; hourly KLGA observations will clarify as the day progresses.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Mar 29, 2026, 2:36 PM ET
音量
$120,517終了日
2026/04/03マーケット開始日
Mar 29, 2026, 2:36 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects National Weather Service guidance for a rebound to the low-to-mid 60s°F at LaGuardia Airport (KLGA) on April 3, driven by warm air advection following yesterday's cold front passage, which brought chilly highs in the 40s, drizzle, and sleet under persistent easterly winds. Model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF show highs clustering 60-67°F, with close odds between 60-61°F (22.5%), 62-63°F (23%), 64-65°F (18%), and 66-67°F (18%) hinging on cloud cover extent—persistent overcast could cap peaks near 60°F, while afternoon breaks foster 2-4°F gains via increased insolation and boundary-layer mixing. Above-normal temps (climatological April 3 high ~56°F) face downside risk from lingering low clouds; hourly KLGA observations will clarify as the day progresses.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$120,517終了日
2026/04/03マーケット開始日
Mar 29, 2026, 2:36 PM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket reflects National Weather Service guidance for a rebound to the low-to-mid 60s°F at LaGuardia Airport (KLGA) on April 3, driven by warm air advection following yesterday's cold front passage, which brought chilly highs in the 40s, drizzle, and sleet under persistent easterly winds. Model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF show highs clustering 60-67°F, with close odds between 60-61°F (22.5%), 62-63°F (23%), 64-65°F (18%), and 66-67°F (18%) hinging on cloud cover extent—persistent overcast could cap peaks near 60°F, while afternoon breaks foster 2-4°F gains via increased insolation and boundary-layer mixing. Above-normal temps (climatological April 3 high ~56°F) face downside risk from lingering low clouds; hourly KLGA observations will clarify as the day progresses.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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