Latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration project a high of 22°C at Beijing Capital International Airport on April 3 under cloudy skies with northwest gentle breezes, following yesterday's 19°C clear maximum, yet trader consensus implies 47.6% odds for 24°C as the leading outcome, with 26.5% on 23°C. This positioning reflects springtime atmospheric patterns favoring afternoon heating from residual solar insolation even with partial cloud cover, consistent with historical early-April variability where highs often exceed 20°C amid transitioning high-pressure ridges over northern China. Morning observations around 13°C overcast leave room for 2–3°C upside if clouds thin, per model ensembles; real-time CMA hourly data through afternoon will be pivotal for resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Beijing on April 3?
Highest temperature in Beijing on April 3?
24°C 47.9%
23°C 26%
25°C 10.9%
22°C 10%
$85,486 Vol.
$85,486 Vol.
2026/04/03
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
2%
22°C
10%
23°C
26%
24°C
48%
25°C
11%
26°C or higher
3%
24°C 47.9%
23°C 26%
25°C 10.9%
22°C 10%
$85,486 Vol.
$85,486 Vol.
2026/04/03
16°C or below
$15,031 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$7,313 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$7,833 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$8,839 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$7,032 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$9,387 Vol.
2%
22°C
$7,281 Vol.
10%
23°C
$5,528 Vol.
26%
24°C
$3,133 Vol.
48%
25°C
$4,418 Vol.
11%
26°C or higher
$10,035 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration project a high of 22°C at Beijing Capital International Airport on April 3 under cloudy skies with northwest gentle breezes, following yesterday's 19°C clear maximum, yet trader consensus implies 47.6% odds for 24°C as the leading outcome, with 26.5% on 23°C. This positioning reflects springtime atmospheric patterns favoring afternoon heating from residual solar insolation even with partial cloud cover, consistent with historical early-April variability where highs often exceed 20°C amid transitioning high-pressure ridges over northern China. Morning observations around 13°C overcast leave room for 2–3°C upside if clouds thin, per model ensembles; real-time CMA hourly data through afternoon will be pivotal for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Mar 29, 2026, 3:14 PM ET
音量
$85,486終了日
2026/04/03マーケット開始日
Mar 29, 2026, 3:14 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration project a high of 22°C at Beijing Capital International Airport on April 3 under cloudy skies with northwest gentle breezes, following yesterday's 19°C clear maximum, yet trader consensus implies 47.6% odds for 24°C as the leading outcome, with 26.5% on 23°C. This positioning reflects springtime atmospheric patterns favoring afternoon heating from residual solar insolation even with partial cloud cover, consistent with historical early-April variability where highs often exceed 20°C amid transitioning high-pressure ridges over northern China. Morning observations around 13°C overcast leave room for 2–3°C upside if clouds thin, per model ensembles; real-time CMA hourly data through afternoon will be pivotal for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$85,486終了日
2026/04/03マーケット開始日
Mar 29, 2026, 3:14 PM ETLatest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration project a high of 22°C at Beijing Capital International Airport on April 3 under cloudy skies with northwest gentle breezes, following yesterday's 19°C clear maximum, yet trader consensus implies 47.6% odds for 24°C as the leading outcome, with 26.5% on 23°C. This positioning reflects springtime atmospheric patterns favoring afternoon heating from residual solar insolation even with partial cloud cover, consistent with historical early-April variability where highs often exceed 20°C amid transitioning high-pressure ridges over northern China. Morning observations around 13°C overcast leave room for 2–3°C upside if clouds thin, per model ensembles; real-time CMA hourly data through afternoon will be pivotal for resolution.
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