Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in forecast models for Amsterdam's highest temperature on April 5, with KNMI and ensemble guidance from ECMWF and GFS showing a spread of 10–14°C amid variable cloud cover and potential showers. Recent developments include a brief warm spell earlier this week, with highs near 22°C under high pressure, but incoming northwesterly flows introduce cooler maritime air, differentiating lower outcomes like 7–10°C from higher ones above 14°C via wind shear and frontal timing. Early April climatology averages 12.6°C, with historical variability supporting the even market-implied odds. Watch daily KNMI updates and new 12Z model runs for shifts ahead of resolution using official Schiphol Airport observations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Amsterdam on April 5?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on April 5?
7°C or below 26%
8°C 26%
9°C 26%
10°C 26%
新規
新規
2026/04/05
7°C or below
26%
8°C
26%
9°C
26%
10°C
26%
11°C
26%
12°C
26%
13°C
26%
14°C
26%
15°C
26%
16°C
26%
17°C or higher
26%
7°C or below 26%
8°C 26%
9°C 26%
10°C 26%
新規
新規
2026/04/05
7°C or below
$5 Vol.
26%
8°C
$0 Vol.
26%
9°C
$0 Vol.
26%
10°C
$0 Vol.
26%
11°C
$0 Vol.
26%
12°C
$0 Vol.
26%
13°C
$0 Vol.
26%
14°C
$0 Vol.
26%
15°C
$0 Vol.
26%
16°C
$0 Vol.
26%
17°C or higher
$0 Vol.
26%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in forecast models for Amsterdam's highest temperature on April 5, with KNMI and ensemble guidance from ECMWF and GFS showing a spread of 10–14°C amid variable cloud cover and potential showers. Recent developments include a brief warm spell earlier this week, with highs near 22°C under high pressure, but incoming northwesterly flows introduce cooler maritime air, differentiating lower outcomes like 7–10°C from higher ones above 14°C via wind shear and frontal timing. Early April climatology averages 12.6°C, with historical variability supporting the even market-implied odds. Watch daily KNMI updates and new 12Z model runs for shifts ahead of resolution using official Schiphol Airport observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 2, 2026, 8:58 PM ET
音量
$0終了日
2026/04/05マーケット開始日
Apr 2, 2026, 8:58 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in forecast models for Amsterdam's highest temperature on April 5, with KNMI and ensemble guidance from ECMWF and GFS showing a spread of 10–14°C amid variable cloud cover and potential showers. Recent developments include a brief warm spell earlier this week, with highs near 22°C under high pressure, but incoming northwesterly flows introduce cooler maritime air, differentiating lower outcomes like 7–10°C from higher ones above 14°C via wind shear and frontal timing. Early April climatology averages 12.6°C, with historical variability supporting the even market-implied odds. Watch daily KNMI updates and new 12Z model runs for shifts ahead of resolution using official Schiphol Airport observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$0終了日
2026/04/05マーケット開始日
Apr 2, 2026, 8:58 PM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in forecast models for Amsterdam's highest temperature on April 5, with KNMI and ensemble guidance from ECMWF and GFS showing a spread of 10–14°C amid variable cloud cover and potential showers. Recent developments include a brief warm spell earlier this week, with highs near 22°C under high pressure, but incoming northwesterly flows introduce cooler maritime air, differentiating lower outcomes like 7–10°C from higher ones above 14°C via wind shear and frontal timing. Early April climatology averages 12.6°C, with historical variability supporting the even market-implied odds. Watch daily KNMI updates and new 12Z model runs for shifts ahead of resolution using official Schiphol Airport observations.
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