Preliminary hourly observations from Environment Canada at Toronto Pearson International Airport show April 2 temperatures peaking at 2°C amid persistent cloud cover, light drizzle, and easterly winds up to 39 km/h, consistent with a special weather statement for heavy rain that suppressed solar heating. Yet trader consensus holds 5°C (49% implied probability) slightly ahead of 6°C or higher (44%), driven by pre-event forecasts projecting daytime highs of 5-6°C and skepticism toward incomplete early data. Differentiating factors include potential late-afternoon warming from any cloud breaks versus continued overcast capping below 6°C; inherent short-range forecast uncertainty from model ensembles underscores the tight race, with final resolution pending certified daily maximum.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Toronto on April 2?
Highest temperature in Toronto on April 2?
5°C 49%
6°C or higher 39%
4°C 11.2%
3°C <1%
$111,480 Vol.
$111,480 Vol.
2026/04/02
3°C
<1%
4°C
11%
5°C
49%
6°C or higher
39%
5°C 49%
6°C or higher 39%
4°C 11.2%
3°C <1%
$111,480 Vol.
$111,480 Vol.
2026/04/02
3°C
$21,316 Vol.
<1%
4°C
$10,596 Vol.
11%
5°C
$4,979 Vol.
49%
6°C or higher
$13,870 Vol.
39%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Preliminary hourly observations from Environment Canada at Toronto Pearson International Airport show April 2 temperatures peaking at 2°C amid persistent cloud cover, light drizzle, and easterly winds up to 39 km/h, consistent with a special weather statement for heavy rain that suppressed solar heating. Yet trader consensus holds 5°C (49% implied probability) slightly ahead of 6°C or higher (44%), driven by pre-event forecasts projecting daytime highs of 5-6°C and skepticism toward incomplete early data. Differentiating factors include potential late-afternoon warming from any cloud breaks versus continued overcast capping below 6°C; inherent short-range forecast uncertainty from model ensembles underscores the tight race, with final resolution pending certified daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Mar 29, 2026, 2:22 PM ET
音量
$111,480終了日
2026/04/02マーケット開始日
Mar 29, 2026, 2:22 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Preliminary hourly observations from Environment Canada at Toronto Pearson International Airport show April 2 temperatures peaking at 2°C amid persistent cloud cover, light drizzle, and easterly winds up to 39 km/h, consistent with a special weather statement for heavy rain that suppressed solar heating. Yet trader consensus holds 5°C (49% implied probability) slightly ahead of 6°C or higher (44%), driven by pre-event forecasts projecting daytime highs of 5-6°C and skepticism toward incomplete early data. Differentiating factors include potential late-afternoon warming from any cloud breaks versus continued overcast capping below 6°C; inherent short-range forecast uncertainty from model ensembles underscores the tight race, with final resolution pending certified daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$111,480終了日
2026/04/02マーケット開始日
Mar 29, 2026, 2:22 PM ETPreliminary hourly observations from Environment Canada at Toronto Pearson International Airport show April 2 temperatures peaking at 2°C amid persistent cloud cover, light drizzle, and easterly winds up to 39 km/h, consistent with a special weather statement for heavy rain that suppressed solar heating. Yet trader consensus holds 5°C (49% implied probability) slightly ahead of 6°C or higher (44%), driven by pre-event forecasts projecting daytime highs of 5-6°C and skepticism toward incomplete early data. Differentiating factors include potential late-afternoon warming from any cloud breaks versus continued overcast capping below 6°C; inherent short-range forecast uncertainty from model ensembles underscores the tight race, with final resolution pending certified daily maximum.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問