Environment Canada's latest forecast, issued April 2, projects a high of 7°C at Toronto Pearson International Airport on April 5 under cloudy skies with a 30% chance of showers, following a sharp cool-down from 20°C on April 3 amid a passing frontal system. Despite this, traders assign a 30.5% implied probability to 12°C or higher, reflecting divergent model guidance—such as warmer GFS ensembles—and inherent spring uncertainties like variable cloud cover, wind patterns, and potential ridging. Outcomes around 8–10°C (14.5–19.5%) gain traction from historical early-April averages near 10°C, while sub-7°C scenarios hinge on prolonged overcast or precipitation; watch tomorrow's 12Z model runs for shifts ahead of resolution using official airport observations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Toronto on April 5?
Highest temperature in Toronto on April 5?
12°C or higher 32%
9°C 20%
10°C 15%
8°C 14%
新規
$10,383 Vol.
新規
$10,383 Vol.
2026/04/05
2°C or below
<1%
3°C
<1%
4°C
1%
5°C
1%
6°C
4%
7°C
9%
8°C
14%
9°C
20%
10°C
15%
11°C
13%
12°C or higher
32%
12°C or higher 32%
9°C 20%
10°C 15%
8°C 14%
新規
$10,383 Vol.
新規
$10,383 Vol.
2026/04/05
2°C or below
$746 Vol.
<1%
3°C
$723 Vol.
<1%
4°C
$803 Vol.
1%
5°C
$916 Vol.
1%
6°C
$1,116 Vol.
4%
7°C
$737 Vol.
9%
8°C
$1,268 Vol.
14%
9°C
$913 Vol.
20%
10°C
$822 Vol.
15%
11°C
$1,039 Vol.
13%
12°C or higher
$1,300 Vol.
32%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Environment Canada's latest forecast, issued April 2, projects a high of 7°C at Toronto Pearson International Airport on April 5 under cloudy skies with a 30% chance of showers, following a sharp cool-down from 20°C on April 3 amid a passing frontal system. Despite this, traders assign a 30.5% implied probability to 12°C or higher, reflecting divergent model guidance—such as warmer GFS ensembles—and inherent spring uncertainties like variable cloud cover, wind patterns, and potential ridging. Outcomes around 8–10°C (14.5–19.5%) gain traction from historical early-April averages near 10°C, while sub-7°C scenarios hinge on prolonged overcast or precipitation; watch tomorrow's 12Z model runs for shifts ahead of resolution using official airport observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 1, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
音量
$10,383終了日
2026/04/05マーケット開始日
Apr 1, 2026, 6:01 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Environment Canada's latest forecast, issued April 2, projects a high of 7°C at Toronto Pearson International Airport on April 5 under cloudy skies with a 30% chance of showers, following a sharp cool-down from 20°C on April 3 amid a passing frontal system. Despite this, traders assign a 30.5% implied probability to 12°C or higher, reflecting divergent model guidance—such as warmer GFS ensembles—and inherent spring uncertainties like variable cloud cover, wind patterns, and potential ridging. Outcomes around 8–10°C (14.5–19.5%) gain traction from historical early-April averages near 10°C, while sub-7°C scenarios hinge on prolonged overcast or precipitation; watch tomorrow's 12Z model runs for shifts ahead of resolution using official airport observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$10,383終了日
2026/04/05マーケット開始日
Apr 1, 2026, 6:01 AM ETEnvironment Canada's latest forecast, issued April 2, projects a high of 7°C at Toronto Pearson International Airport on April 5 under cloudy skies with a 30% chance of showers, following a sharp cool-down from 20°C on April 3 amid a passing frontal system. Despite this, traders assign a 30.5% implied probability to 12°C or higher, reflecting divergent model guidance—such as warmer GFS ensembles—and inherent spring uncertainties like variable cloud cover, wind patterns, and potential ridging. Outcomes around 8–10°C (14.5–19.5%) gain traction from historical early-April averages near 10°C, while sub-7°C scenarios hinge on prolonged overcast or precipitation; watch tomorrow's 12Z model runs for shifts ahead of resolution using official airport observations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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