Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 61.5% implied probability to a 16°C high in Shanghai on April 3, driven by the latest ensemble forecasts from GFS, ECMWF, and China Meteorological Administration models, which converge on daytime highs of 16–17°C amid a frontal system ushering moderate rain and southeasterly winds at 16–24 km/h. Thick cloud cover and 80–100% precipitation probabilities will sharply limit solar insolation, capping heating well below early April seasonal norms of 17–18°C and today's observed 21°C peak. While lighter rain could nudge toward 17–18°C, new model runs overnight and Pudong Airport observations (resolving source via Wunderground ZSPD) will sharpen resolution before close.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Shanghai on April 3?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on April 3?
16°C 68%
17°C 20%
18°C 8%
19°C 2.5%
$108,865 Vol.
$108,865 Vol.
2026/04/03
16°C
68%
17°C
20%
18°C
8%
19°C
2%
20°C or higher
1%
16°C 68%
17°C 20%
18°C 8%
19°C 2.5%
$108,865 Vol.
$108,865 Vol.
2026/04/03
16°C
$8,043 Vol.
68%
17°C
$6,544 Vol.
20%
18°C
$6,562 Vol.
8%
19°C
$5,981 Vol.
2%
20°C or higher
$13,062 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 61.5% implied probability to a 16°C high in Shanghai on April 3, driven by the latest ensemble forecasts from GFS, ECMWF, and China Meteorological Administration models, which converge on daytime highs of 16–17°C amid a frontal system ushering moderate rain and southeasterly winds at 16–24 km/h. Thick cloud cover and 80–100% precipitation probabilities will sharply limit solar insolation, capping heating well below early April seasonal norms of 17–18°C and today's observed 21°C peak. While lighter rain could nudge toward 17–18°C, new model runs overnight and Pudong Airport observations (resolving source via Wunderground ZSPD) will sharpen resolution before close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Mar 29, 2026, 2:54 PM ET
音量
$108,865終了日
2026/04/03マーケット開始日
Mar 29, 2026, 2:54 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 61.5% implied probability to a 16°C high in Shanghai on April 3, driven by the latest ensemble forecasts from GFS, ECMWF, and China Meteorological Administration models, which converge on daytime highs of 16–17°C amid a frontal system ushering moderate rain and southeasterly winds at 16–24 km/h. Thick cloud cover and 80–100% precipitation probabilities will sharply limit solar insolation, capping heating well below early April seasonal norms of 17–18°C and today's observed 21°C peak. While lighter rain could nudge toward 17–18°C, new model runs overnight and Pudong Airport observations (resolving source via Wunderground ZSPD) will sharpen resolution before close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$108,865終了日
2026/04/03マーケット開始日
Mar 29, 2026, 2:54 PM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 61.5% implied probability to a 16°C high in Shanghai on April 3, driven by the latest ensemble forecasts from GFS, ECMWF, and China Meteorological Administration models, which converge on daytime highs of 16–17°C amid a frontal system ushering moderate rain and southeasterly winds at 16–24 km/h. Thick cloud cover and 80–100% precipitation probabilities will sharply limit solar insolation, capping heating well below early April seasonal norms of 17–18°C and today's observed 21°C peak. While lighter rain could nudge toward 17–18°C, new model runs overnight and Pudong Airport observations (resolving source via Wunderground ZSPD) will sharpen resolution before close.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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