Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a razor-thin contest between 23°C (28.5%) and 24°C (35.0%) as Mexico City's highest temperature on April 6, mirroring tight spreads in GFS and ECMWF forecast ensembles amid day-2 uncertainty. Persistent partly cloudy skies and scattered chubascos from a lingering frontal system, as per latest Servicio Meteorológico Nacional advisories, are capping peaks below the April historical average of 26°C, with northerly winds and the city's 2,240-meter elevation further moderating daytime heating via reduced solar insolation. Key differentiators include cloud cover persistence versus afternoon clearing and boundary layer mixing; new 12Z model runs and SMN updates today could tip the balance before resolution via official airport observations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Mexico City on April 6?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on April 6?
24°C 35%
23°C 29%
25°C 15%
22°C 11%
新規
新規
2026/04/06
19°C or below
2%
20°C
5%
21°C
8%
22°C
11%
23°C
29%
24°C
35%
25°C
15%
26°C
8%
27°C
3%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
1%
24°C 35%
23°C 29%
25°C 15%
22°C 11%
新規
新規
2026/04/06
19°C or below
$363 Vol.
2%
20°C
$199 Vol.
5%
21°C
$181 Vol.
8%
22°C
$215 Vol.
11%
23°C
$325 Vol.
29%
24°C
$257 Vol.
35%
25°C
$648 Vol.
15%
26°C
$624 Vol.
8%
27°C
$193 Vol.
3%
28°C
$432 Vol.
1%
29°C or higher
$527 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a razor-thin contest between 23°C (28.5%) and 24°C (35.0%) as Mexico City's highest temperature on April 6, mirroring tight spreads in GFS and ECMWF forecast ensembles amid day-2 uncertainty. Persistent partly cloudy skies and scattered chubascos from a lingering frontal system, as per latest Servicio Meteorológico Nacional advisories, are capping peaks below the April historical average of 26°C, with northerly winds and the city's 2,240-meter elevation further moderating daytime heating via reduced solar insolation. Key differentiators include cloud cover persistence versus afternoon clearing and boundary layer mixing; new 12Z model runs and SMN updates today could tip the balance before resolution via official airport observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 2, 2026, 6:20 AM ET
音量
$3,965終了日
2026/04/06マーケット開始日
Apr 2, 2026, 6:20 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a razor-thin contest between 23°C (28.5%) and 24°C (35.0%) as Mexico City's highest temperature on April 6, mirroring tight spreads in GFS and ECMWF forecast ensembles amid day-2 uncertainty. Persistent partly cloudy skies and scattered chubascos from a lingering frontal system, as per latest Servicio Meteorológico Nacional advisories, are capping peaks below the April historical average of 26°C, with northerly winds and the city's 2,240-meter elevation further moderating daytime heating via reduced solar insolation. Key differentiators include cloud cover persistence versus afternoon clearing and boundary layer mixing; new 12Z model runs and SMN updates today could tip the balance before resolution via official airport observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$3,965終了日
2026/04/06マーケット開始日
Apr 2, 2026, 6:20 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket implies a razor-thin contest between 23°C (28.5%) and 24°C (35.0%) as Mexico City's highest temperature on April 6, mirroring tight spreads in GFS and ECMWF forecast ensembles amid day-2 uncertainty. Persistent partly cloudy skies and scattered chubascos from a lingering frontal system, as per latest Servicio Meteorológico Nacional advisories, are capping peaks below the April historical average of 26°C, with northerly winds and the city's 2,240-meter elevation further moderating daytime heating via reduced solar insolation. Key differentiators include cloud cover persistence versus afternoon clearing and boundary layer mixing; new 12Z model runs and SMN updates today could tip the balance before resolution via official airport observations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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