Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble outputs from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF models project Miami's highest temperature on April 8 around 78°F, aligning with trader consensus favoring 74-81°F outcomes at nearly equal implied probabilities near 29-30%. This tight clustering stems from a recent cooling trend observed through April 3, with cooler air masses and enhanced sea breeze penetration suppressing peak daytime heating, compounded by potential thunderstorms reducing insolation. Historical April averages hover at 81°F, but current atmospheric patterns—lighter winds and higher humidity—favor moderation below climatology. Key differentiators include timing of sea breeze onset and convective cloud cover; new model runs expected daily through April 7 could sharpen the forecast as resolution approaches.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Miami on April 8?
Highest temperature in Miami on April 8?
78-79°F 24%
76-77°F 23%
74-75°F 20%
80-81°F 15%
新規
新規
2026/04/08
67°F or below
2%
68-69°F
8%
70-71°F
8%
72-73°F
11%
74-75°F
20%
76-77°F
23%
78-79°F
24%
80-81°F
15%
82-83°F
12%
84-85°F
7%
86°F or higher
5%
78-79°F 24%
76-77°F 23%
74-75°F 20%
80-81°F 15%
新規
新規
2026/04/08
67°F or below
$20 Vol.
2%
68-69°F
$0 Vol.
8%
70-71°F
$0 Vol.
8%
72-73°F
$0 Vol.
11%
74-75°F
$1 Vol.
20%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
23%
78-79°F
$0 Vol.
24%
80-81°F
$0 Vol.
15%
82-83°F
$0 Vol.
12%
84-85°F
$0 Vol.
7%
86°F or higher
$2 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble outputs from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF models project Miami's highest temperature on April 8 around 78°F, aligning with trader consensus favoring 74-81°F outcomes at nearly equal implied probabilities near 29-30%. This tight clustering stems from a recent cooling trend observed through April 3, with cooler air masses and enhanced sea breeze penetration suppressing peak daytime heating, compounded by potential thunderstorms reducing insolation. Historical April averages hover at 81°F, but current atmospheric patterns—lighter winds and higher humidity—favor moderation below climatology. Key differentiators include timing of sea breeze onset and convective cloud cover; new model runs expected daily through April 7 could sharpen the forecast as resolution approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 4, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
音量
$23終了日
2026/04/08マーケット開始日
Apr 4, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble outputs from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF models project Miami's highest temperature on April 8 around 78°F, aligning with trader consensus favoring 74-81°F outcomes at nearly equal implied probabilities near 29-30%. This tight clustering stems from a recent cooling trend observed through April 3, with cooler air masses and enhanced sea breeze penetration suppressing peak daytime heating, compounded by potential thunderstorms reducing insolation. Historical April averages hover at 81°F, but current atmospheric patterns—lighter winds and higher humidity—favor moderation below climatology. Key differentiators include timing of sea breeze onset and convective cloud cover; new model runs expected daily through April 7 could sharpen the forecast as resolution approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$23終了日
2026/04/08マーケット開始日
Apr 4, 2026, 12:58 AM ETLatest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble outputs from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF models project Miami's highest temperature on April 8 around 78°F, aligning with trader consensus favoring 74-81°F outcomes at nearly equal implied probabilities near 29-30%. This tight clustering stems from a recent cooling trend observed through April 3, with cooler air masses and enhanced sea breeze penetration suppressing peak daytime heating, compounded by potential thunderstorms reducing insolation. Historical April averages hover at 81°F, but current atmospheric patterns—lighter winds and higher humidity—favor moderation below climatology. Key differentiators include timing of sea breeze onset and convective cloud cover; new model runs expected daily through April 7 could sharpen the forecast as resolution approaches.
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