Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward a Shanghai high temperature of 23°C (24.5% implied probability) or 24°C (20.5%), reflecting the latest forecast guidance from global models like GFS and ECMWF, which project highs in the low-to-mid 20s Celsius on April 5 amid a transition from recent light-to-moderate rains and cooler highs around 17°C earlier this week. Key differentiators include ensemble spread from variable cloud cover, southerly wind speeds influencing warm air advection from the East China Sea, and urban heat island effects amplifying peaks; historical early April averages hover near 18°C, but spring warming trends add upside potential. Daily updates from the China Meteorological Administration could refine this, with resolution based on official observations from Shanghai Pudong or Hongqiao stations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Shanghai on April 5?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on April 5?
24°C 25%
23°C 25%
22°C 17%
25°C 13%
新規
$10,728 Vol.
新規
$10,728 Vol.
2026/04/05
18°C or below
2%
19°C
3%
20°C
7%
21°C
11%
22°C
17%
23°C
25%
24°C
25%
25°C
13%
26°C
9%
27°C
4%
28°C or higher
1%
24°C 25%
23°C 25%
22°C 17%
25°C 13%
新規
$10,728 Vol.
新規
$10,728 Vol.
2026/04/05
18°C or below
$1,295 Vol.
2%
19°C
$764 Vol.
3%
20°C
$635 Vol.
7%
21°C
$750 Vol.
11%
22°C
$848 Vol.
17%
23°C
$1,225 Vol.
25%
24°C
$1,216 Vol.
25%
25°C
$693 Vol.
13%
26°C
$1,062 Vol.
9%
27°C
$1,043 Vol.
4%
28°C or higher
$1,196 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward a Shanghai high temperature of 23°C (24.5% implied probability) or 24°C (20.5%), reflecting the latest forecast guidance from global models like GFS and ECMWF, which project highs in the low-to-mid 20s Celsius on April 5 amid a transition from recent light-to-moderate rains and cooler highs around 17°C earlier this week. Key differentiators include ensemble spread from variable cloud cover, southerly wind speeds influencing warm air advection from the East China Sea, and urban heat island effects amplifying peaks; historical early April averages hover near 18°C, but spring warming trends add upside potential. Daily updates from the China Meteorological Administration could refine this, with resolution based on official observations from Shanghai Pudong or Hongqiao stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
音量
$10,728終了日
2026/04/05マーケット開始日
Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward a Shanghai high temperature of 23°C (24.5% implied probability) or 24°C (20.5%), reflecting the latest forecast guidance from global models like GFS and ECMWF, which project highs in the low-to-mid 20s Celsius on April 5 amid a transition from recent light-to-moderate rains and cooler highs around 17°C earlier this week. Key differentiators include ensemble spread from variable cloud cover, southerly wind speeds influencing warm air advection from the East China Sea, and urban heat island effects amplifying peaks; historical early April averages hover near 18°C, but spring warming trends add upside potential. Daily updates from the China Meteorological Administration could refine this, with resolution based on official observations from Shanghai Pudong or Hongqiao stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$10,728終了日
2026/04/05マーケット開始日
Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward a Shanghai high temperature of 23°C (24.5% implied probability) or 24°C (20.5%), reflecting the latest forecast guidance from global models like GFS and ECMWF, which project highs in the low-to-mid 20s Celsius on April 5 amid a transition from recent light-to-moderate rains and cooler highs around 17°C earlier this week. Key differentiators include ensemble spread from variable cloud cover, southerly wind speeds influencing warm air advection from the East China Sea, and urban heat island effects amplifying peaks; historical early April averages hover near 18°C, but spring warming trends add upside potential. Daily updates from the China Meteorological Administration could refine this, with resolution based on official observations from Shanghai Pudong or Hongqiao stations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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