Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a Houston high temperature of 72-73°F at 34% implied probability for April 6, driven by the latest National Weather Service forecasts showing a cold front arriving Saturday with storms and showers persisting into Sunday under mostly cloudy skies and breezy northerly winds. Recent model runs from GFS and ECMWF align on post-frontal cooling after recent 80s highs, capping daytime maxima in the low to mid-70s amid lingering moisture south of I-10, below April climatological norms near 78°F. High uncertainty stems from frontal timing variations and clearing potential—prolonged clouds favor 70-71°F (23.5%), quicker recovery pushes toward 74-75°F (19.6%)—with fresh 12z updates expected today refining odds ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Houston on April 6?
Highest temperature in Houston on April 6?
72-73°F 33%
70-71°F 25%
74-75°F 19.6%
68-69°F 11%
新規
新規
2026/04/06
65°F or below
2%
66-67°F
3%
68-69°F
11%
70-71°F
25%
72-73°F
33%
74-75°F
20%
76-77°F
8%
78-79°F
2%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84°F or higher
1%
72-73°F 33%
70-71°F 25%
74-75°F 19.6%
68-69°F 11%
新規
新規
2026/04/06
65°F or below
$258 Vol.
2%
66-67°F
$150 Vol.
3%
68-69°F
$350 Vol.
11%
70-71°F
$759 Vol.
25%
72-73°F
$495 Vol.
33%
74-75°F
$236 Vol.
20%
76-77°F
$265 Vol.
8%
78-79°F
$182 Vol.
2%
80-81°F
$417 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$386 Vol.
<1%
84°F or higher
$519 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a Houston high temperature of 72-73°F at 34% implied probability for April 6, driven by the latest National Weather Service forecasts showing a cold front arriving Saturday with storms and showers persisting into Sunday under mostly cloudy skies and breezy northerly winds. Recent model runs from GFS and ECMWF align on post-frontal cooling after recent 80s highs, capping daytime maxima in the low to mid-70s amid lingering moisture south of I-10, below April climatological norms near 78°F. High uncertainty stems from frontal timing variations and clearing potential—prolonged clouds favor 70-71°F (23.5%), quicker recovery pushes toward 74-75°F (19.6%)—with fresh 12z updates expected today refining odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 2, 2026, 6:37 AM ET
音量
$4,017終了日
2026/04/06マーケット開始日
Apr 2, 2026, 6:37 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a Houston high temperature of 72-73°F at 34% implied probability for April 6, driven by the latest National Weather Service forecasts showing a cold front arriving Saturday with storms and showers persisting into Sunday under mostly cloudy skies and breezy northerly winds. Recent model runs from GFS and ECMWF align on post-frontal cooling after recent 80s highs, capping daytime maxima in the low to mid-70s amid lingering moisture south of I-10, below April climatological norms near 78°F. High uncertainty stems from frontal timing variations and clearing potential—prolonged clouds favor 70-71°F (23.5%), quicker recovery pushes toward 74-75°F (19.6%)—with fresh 12z updates expected today refining odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$4,017終了日
2026/04/06マーケット開始日
Apr 2, 2026, 6:37 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket favors a Houston high temperature of 72-73°F at 34% implied probability for April 6, driven by the latest National Weather Service forecasts showing a cold front arriving Saturday with storms and showers persisting into Sunday under mostly cloudy skies and breezy northerly winds. Recent model runs from GFS and ECMWF align on post-frontal cooling after recent 80s highs, capping daytime maxima in the low to mid-70s amid lingering moisture south of I-10, below April climatological norms near 78°F. High uncertainty stems from frontal timing variations and clearing potential—prolonged clouds favor 70-71°F (23.5%), quicker recovery pushes toward 74-75°F (19.6%)—with fresh 12z updates expected today refining odds ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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