Latest Korea Meteorological Administration short-range forecasts, updated April 2, project Seoul's highest temperature on April 4 near 14–16°C under mostly cloudy skies with morning rain showers from an advancing low-pressure front, explaining the tight market clustering around these outcomes with 15°C holding a slim lead at trader-implied 25.5% probability. Following above-seasonal highs earlier this week around 18°C, this cooling trend reflects increased cloud cover suppressing solar heating, consistent with historical early-April averages of 15–17°C and ensemble model spreads from ECMWF and GFS showing 1–2°C variability based on rain timing and afternoon clearing potential. Updated observations and final advisories expected overnight could refine this uncertainty before resolution via official Seoul station data.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Seoul on April 4?
Highest temperature in Seoul on April 4?
15°C 26%
16°C 24%
17°C or higher 22.1%
14°C 19%
$66,869 Vol.
$66,869 Vol.
2026/04/04
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
3%
13°C
14%
14°C
19%
15°C
26%
16°C
24%
17°C or higher
22%
15°C 26%
16°C 24%
17°C or higher 22.1%
14°C 19%
$66,869 Vol.
$66,869 Vol.
2026/04/04
7°C or below
$8,283 Vol.
<1%
8°C
$4,637 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$7,142 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$6,255 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$6,098 Vol.
1%
12°C
$6,334 Vol.
3%
13°C
$5,443 Vol.
14%
14°C
$4,427 Vol.
19%
15°C
$3,960 Vol.
26%
16°C
$5,174 Vol.
24%
17°C or higher
$9,442 Vol.
22%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Korea Meteorological Administration short-range forecasts, updated April 2, project Seoul's highest temperature on April 4 near 14–16°C under mostly cloudy skies with morning rain showers from an advancing low-pressure front, explaining the tight market clustering around these outcomes with 15°C holding a slim lead at trader-implied 25.5% probability. Following above-seasonal highs earlier this week around 18°C, this cooling trend reflects increased cloud cover suppressing solar heating, consistent with historical early-April averages of 15–17°C and ensemble model spreads from ECMWF and GFS showing 1–2°C variability based on rain timing and afternoon clearing potential. Updated observations and final advisories expected overnight could refine this uncertainty before resolution via official Seoul station data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Mar 29, 2026, 2:43 PM ET
音量
$66,869終了日
2026/04/04マーケット開始日
Mar 29, 2026, 2:43 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Korea Meteorological Administration short-range forecasts, updated April 2, project Seoul's highest temperature on April 4 near 14–16°C under mostly cloudy skies with morning rain showers from an advancing low-pressure front, explaining the tight market clustering around these outcomes with 15°C holding a slim lead at trader-implied 25.5% probability. Following above-seasonal highs earlier this week around 18°C, this cooling trend reflects increased cloud cover suppressing solar heating, consistent with historical early-April averages of 15–17°C and ensemble model spreads from ECMWF and GFS showing 1–2°C variability based on rain timing and afternoon clearing potential. Updated observations and final advisories expected overnight could refine this uncertainty before resolution via official Seoul station data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$66,869終了日
2026/04/04マーケット開始日
Mar 29, 2026, 2:43 PM ETLatest Korea Meteorological Administration short-range forecasts, updated April 2, project Seoul's highest temperature on April 4 near 14–16°C under mostly cloudy skies with morning rain showers from an advancing low-pressure front, explaining the tight market clustering around these outcomes with 15°C holding a slim lead at trader-implied 25.5% probability. Following above-seasonal highs earlier this week around 18°C, this cooling trend reflects increased cloud cover suppressing solar heating, consistent with historical early-April averages of 15–17°C and ensemble model spreads from ECMWF and GFS showing 1–2°C variability based on rain timing and afternoon clearing potential. Updated observations and final advisories expected overnight could refine this uncertainty before resolution via official Seoul station data.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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