Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 56% implied probability to a 28°C high temperature in Shenzhen today, reflecting the latest ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA), ECMWF, and GFS models clustering around 27–28°C amid subtropical monsoon conditions with high humidity and moderate easterly sea breezes. AccuWeather and Yr.no guidance specifically projects 28°C peaks under intervals of clouds and sunshine, while CMA bulletins note potential afternoon thundershowers that could moderate intensities toward 27°C. Early morning observations at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport show around 23°C with patchy rain, consistent with historical early-April averages near 26°C but warmer due to recent ridging patterns. Hourly updates from CMA through evening will refine trajectories as urban heat and convective activity influence the peak.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Shenzhen on April 3?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on April 3?
28°C 52%
27°C 32%
29°C 15%
30°C or higher 5.1%
$53,237 Vol.
$53,237 Vol.
2026/04/03
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
4%
27°C
32%
28°C
52%
29°C
15%
30°C or higher
5%
28°C 52%
27°C 32%
29°C 15%
30°C or higher 5.1%
$53,237 Vol.
$53,237 Vol.
2026/04/03
24°C
$7,405 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$6,733 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$3,388 Vol.
4%
27°C
$2,191 Vol.
32%
28°C
$2,420 Vol.
52%
29°C
$3,376 Vol.
15%
30°C or higher
$10,589 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 56% implied probability to a 28°C high temperature in Shenzhen today, reflecting the latest ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA), ECMWF, and GFS models clustering around 27–28°C amid subtropical monsoon conditions with high humidity and moderate easterly sea breezes. AccuWeather and Yr.no guidance specifically projects 28°C peaks under intervals of clouds and sunshine, while CMA bulletins note potential afternoon thundershowers that could moderate intensities toward 27°C. Early morning observations at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport show around 23°C with patchy rain, consistent with historical early-April averages near 26°C but warmer due to recent ridging patterns. Hourly updates from CMA through evening will refine trajectories as urban heat and convective activity influence the peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Mar 29, 2026, 2:37 PM ET
音量
$53,237終了日
2026/04/03マーケット開始日
Mar 29, 2026, 2:37 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 56% implied probability to a 28°C high temperature in Shenzhen today, reflecting the latest ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA), ECMWF, and GFS models clustering around 27–28°C amid subtropical monsoon conditions with high humidity and moderate easterly sea breezes. AccuWeather and Yr.no guidance specifically projects 28°C peaks under intervals of clouds and sunshine, while CMA bulletins note potential afternoon thundershowers that could moderate intensities toward 27°C. Early morning observations at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport show around 23°C with patchy rain, consistent with historical early-April averages near 26°C but warmer due to recent ridging patterns. Hourly updates from CMA through evening will refine trajectories as urban heat and convective activity influence the peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$53,237終了日
2026/04/03マーケット開始日
Mar 29, 2026, 2:37 PM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket assigns 56% implied probability to a 28°C high temperature in Shenzhen today, reflecting the latest ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA), ECMWF, and GFS models clustering around 27–28°C amid subtropical monsoon conditions with high humidity and moderate easterly sea breezes. AccuWeather and Yr.no guidance specifically projects 28°C peaks under intervals of clouds and sunshine, while CMA bulletins note potential afternoon thundershowers that could moderate intensities toward 27°C. Early morning observations at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport show around 23°C with patchy rain, consistent with historical early-April averages near 26°C but warmer due to recent ridging patterns. Hourly updates from CMA through evening will refine trajectories as urban heat and convective activity influence the peak.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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