Korea Meteorological Administration observations confirm Seoul's temperature peaked at 20°C around 3 PM local time on April 3 under mostly cloudy skies with light southerly winds and low humidity near 35%, easily surpassing the 19°C threshold and driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for 19°C or higher. This aligns with the latest short-range forecast models projecting daytime highs of 20–21°C amid a stable warm air mass, above the typical April average of 16–18°C influenced by seasonal southerly flows. Current evening readings have cooled to 13–14°C, with final official daily maximum data expected from KMA post-midnight. Realistic challenges are minimal—only a rare measurement revision across multiple stations could alter resolution, as peak conditions are already verified.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Seoul on April 3?
Highest temperature in Seoul on April 3?
19°C or higher 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$505,781 Vol.
$505,781 Vol.
2026/04/03
9°C or below
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C or higher
Yes
19°C or higher 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$505,781 Vol.
$505,781 Vol.
2026/04/03
9°C or below
$17,053 Vol.
No
10°C
$31,510 Vol.
No
11°C
$22,016 Vol.
No
12°C
$30,766 Vol.
No
13°C
$34,201 Vol.
No
14°C
$48,185 Vol.
No
15°C
$47,428 Vol.
No
16°C
$34,037 Vol.
No
17°C
$39,266 Vol.
No
18°C
$69,325 Vol.
No
19°C or higher
$131,994 Vol.
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration observations confirm Seoul's temperature peaked at 20°C around 3 PM local time on April 3 under mostly cloudy skies with light southerly winds and low humidity near 35%, easily surpassing the 19°C threshold and driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for 19°C or higher. This aligns with the latest short-range forecast models projecting daytime highs of 20–21°C amid a stable warm air mass, above the typical April average of 16–18°C influenced by seasonal southerly flows. Current evening readings have cooled to 13–14°C, with final official daily maximum data expected from KMA post-midnight. Realistic challenges are minimal—only a rare measurement revision across multiple stations could alter resolution, as peak conditions are already verified.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Mar 29, 2026, 5:12 PM ET
音量
$505,781終了日
2026/04/03マーケット開始日
Mar 29, 2026, 5:12 PM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration observations confirm Seoul's temperature peaked at 20°C around 3 PM local time on April 3 under mostly cloudy skies with light southerly winds and low humidity near 35%, easily surpassing the 19°C threshold and driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for 19°C or higher. This aligns with the latest short-range forecast models projecting daytime highs of 20–21°C amid a stable warm air mass, above the typical April average of 16–18°C influenced by seasonal southerly flows. Current evening readings have cooled to 13–14°C, with final official daily maximum data expected from KMA post-midnight. Realistic challenges are minimal—only a rare measurement revision across multiple stations could alter resolution, as peak conditions are already verified.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$505,781終了日
2026/04/03マーケット開始日
Mar 29, 2026, 5:12 PM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Korea Meteorological Administration observations confirm Seoul's temperature peaked at 20°C around 3 PM local time on April 3 under mostly cloudy skies with light southerly winds and low humidity near 35%, easily surpassing the 19°C threshold and driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for 19°C or higher. This aligns with the latest short-range forecast models projecting daytime highs of 20–21°C amid a stable warm air mass, above the typical April average of 16–18°C influenced by seasonal southerly flows. Current evening readings have cooled to 13–14°C, with final official daily maximum data expected from KMA post-midnight. Realistic challenges are minimal—only a rare measurement revision across multiple stations could alter resolution, as peak conditions are already verified.
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