Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 12–14°C for Seoul's highest temperature on April 5, driven by Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short-range forecasts and global model ensembles like ECMWF and GFS showing mild highs amid early spring variability. Current upper-level patterns feature a weak ridge allowing southerly winds for daytime warming, but divergent cloud cover projections from an approaching low-pressure system introduce uncertainty, with some runs favoring 12°C under overcast skies and others 14°C on partial clearing. Early April climatology averages 14°C highs, with historical swings of ±3°C common due to frontal passages; watch KMA's daily update on April 4 for refined guidance on peak heating timing.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Seoul on April 5?
Highest temperature in Seoul on April 5?
12°C 23%
13°C 21%
14°C 17%
11°C 13%
$23,743 Vol.
$23,743 Vol.
2026/04/05
6°C or below
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
1%
9°C
4%
10°C
5%
11°C
13%
12°C
23%
13°C
21%
14°C
17%
15°C
11%
16°C or higher
12%
12°C 23%
13°C 21%
14°C 17%
11°C 13%
$23,743 Vol.
$23,743 Vol.
2026/04/05
6°C or below
$2,317 Vol.
<1%
7°C
$2,144 Vol.
<1%
8°C
$2,138 Vol.
1%
9°C
$1,785 Vol.
4%
10°C
$2,611 Vol.
5%
11°C
$2,770 Vol.
13%
12°C
$1,616 Vol.
23%
13°C
$1,531 Vol.
21%
14°C
$1,473 Vol.
17%
15°C
$2,344 Vol.
11%
16°C or higher
$3,186 Vol.
12%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 12–14°C for Seoul's highest temperature on April 5, driven by Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short-range forecasts and global model ensembles like ECMWF and GFS showing mild highs amid early spring variability. Current upper-level patterns feature a weak ridge allowing southerly winds for daytime warming, but divergent cloud cover projections from an approaching low-pressure system introduce uncertainty, with some runs favoring 12°C under overcast skies and others 14°C on partial clearing. Early April climatology averages 14°C highs, with historical swings of ±3°C common due to frontal passages; watch KMA's daily update on April 4 for refined guidance on peak heating timing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
音量
$23,743終了日
2026/04/05マーケット開始日
Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 12–14°C for Seoul's highest temperature on April 5, driven by Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short-range forecasts and global model ensembles like ECMWF and GFS showing mild highs amid early spring variability. Current upper-level patterns feature a weak ridge allowing southerly winds for daytime warming, but divergent cloud cover projections from an approaching low-pressure system introduce uncertainty, with some runs favoring 12°C under overcast skies and others 14°C on partial clearing. Early April climatology averages 14°C highs, with historical swings of ±3°C common due to frontal passages; watch KMA's daily update on April 4 for refined guidance on peak heating timing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$23,743終了日
2026/04/05マーケット開始日
Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 12–14°C for Seoul's highest temperature on April 5, driven by Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short-range forecasts and global model ensembles like ECMWF and GFS showing mild highs amid early spring variability. Current upper-level patterns feature a weak ridge allowing southerly winds for daytime warming, but divergent cloud cover projections from an approaching low-pressure system introduce uncertainty, with some runs favoring 12°C under overcast skies and others 14°C on partial clearing. Early April climatology averages 14°C highs, with historical swings of ±3°C common due to frontal passages; watch KMA's daily update on April 4 for refined guidance on peak heating timing.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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