Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 26°C (42.5%) and 25°C (37.5%) for Chengdu's highest temperature today, reflecting forecast model uncertainty amid mild spring conditions in the Sichuan Basin. AccuWeather's latest guidance projects a peak near 78°F (26°C) with intervals of clouds and sunshine, tempered by a 55% chance of morning showers that could cap heating; historical early April averages hover around 21-22°C, but light winds and high pressure favor above-normal afternoon warming. Key differentiators include cloud cover variability and urban heat effects at Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport, the official measurement site—final observations through evening will resolve amid model disagreements on peak solar insolation.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Chengdu on April 3?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on April 3?
26°C 47%
25°C 38%
24°C 11%
27°C 7%
$33,227 Vol.
$33,227 Vol.
2026/04/03
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
11%
25°C
38%
26°C
47%
27°C
7%
28°C
3%
29°C
2%
30°C or higher
<1%
26°C 47%
25°C 38%
24°C 11%
27°C 7%
$33,227 Vol.
$33,227 Vol.
2026/04/03
20°C or below
$4,329 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$5,730 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$4,317 Vol.
1%
23°C
$5,163 Vol.
2%
24°C
$2,213 Vol.
11%
25°C
$2,547 Vol.
38%
26°C
$1,802 Vol.
47%
27°C
$2,317 Vol.
7%
28°C
$1,603 Vol.
3%
29°C
$2,147 Vol.
2%
30°C or higher
$1,159 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 26°C (42.5%) and 25°C (37.5%) for Chengdu's highest temperature today, reflecting forecast model uncertainty amid mild spring conditions in the Sichuan Basin. AccuWeather's latest guidance projects a peak near 78°F (26°C) with intervals of clouds and sunshine, tempered by a 55% chance of morning showers that could cap heating; historical early April averages hover around 21-22°C, but light winds and high pressure favor above-normal afternoon warming. Key differentiators include cloud cover variability and urban heat effects at Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport, the official measurement site—final observations through evening will resolve amid model disagreements on peak solar insolation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Mar 29, 2026, 4:13 PM ET
音量
$33,227終了日
2026/04/03マーケット開始日
Mar 29, 2026, 4:13 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 26°C (42.5%) and 25°C (37.5%) for Chengdu's highest temperature today, reflecting forecast model uncertainty amid mild spring conditions in the Sichuan Basin. AccuWeather's latest guidance projects a peak near 78°F (26°C) with intervals of clouds and sunshine, tempered by a 55% chance of morning showers that could cap heating; historical early April averages hover around 21-22°C, but light winds and high pressure favor above-normal afternoon warming. Key differentiators include cloud cover variability and urban heat effects at Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport, the official measurement site—final observations through evening will resolve amid model disagreements on peak solar insolation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$33,227終了日
2026/04/03マーケット開始日
Mar 29, 2026, 4:13 PM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 26°C (42.5%) and 25°C (37.5%) for Chengdu's highest temperature today, reflecting forecast model uncertainty amid mild spring conditions in the Sichuan Basin. AccuWeather's latest guidance projects a peak near 78°F (26°C) with intervals of clouds and sunshine, tempered by a 55% chance of morning showers that could cap heating; historical early April averages hover around 21-22°C, but light winds and high pressure favor above-normal afternoon warming. Key differentiators include cloud cover variability and urban heat effects at Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport, the official measurement site—final observations through evening will resolve amid model disagreements on peak solar insolation.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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