Hong Kong Observatory observations as of 13:20 HKT on April 2 confirm a maximum air temperature of 24°C since midnight at the Observatory, with current readings at 22.7°C under mainly cloudy skies and a few showers from an easterly airstream affecting southern China. This aligns with the 9-day forecast range of 22–26°C for today, but dropping temperatures mid-afternoon and persistent cloud cover have suppressed further warming, driving trader consensus to 98.6% implied probability for 24°C. Historical April highs average around 25°C, yet today's trough of low pressure limits insolation; a realistic challenge would require unexpected clearing and intense solar heating before evening, though model consensus and current trends make this unlikely as the daily maximum nears finalization.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 2?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 2?
24°C 98.6%
25°C 1.1%
23°C <1%
26°C <1%
$187,095 Vol.
$187,095 Vol.
2026/04/02
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
99%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
24°C 98.6%
25°C 1.1%
23°C <1%
26°C <1%
$187,095 Vol.
$187,095 Vol.
2026/04/02
18°C or below
$6,524 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$18,759 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$3,702 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$5,025 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$9,305 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$60,823 Vol.
1%
24°C
$29,780 Vol.
99%
25°C
$20,635 Vol.
1%
26°C
$12,085 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$7,582 Vol.
<1%
28°C or higher
$12,882 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory observations as of 13:20 HKT on April 2 confirm a maximum air temperature of 24°C since midnight at the Observatory, with current readings at 22.7°C under mainly cloudy skies and a few showers from an easterly airstream affecting southern China. This aligns with the 9-day forecast range of 22–26°C for today, but dropping temperatures mid-afternoon and persistent cloud cover have suppressed further warming, driving trader consensus to 98.6% implied probability for 24°C. Historical April highs average around 25°C, yet today's trough of low pressure limits insolation; a realistic challenge would require unexpected clearing and intense solar heating before evening, though model consensus and current trends make this unlikely as the daily maximum nears finalization.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Mar 29, 2026, 2:45 PM ET
音量
$187,095終了日
2026/04/02マーケット開始日
Mar 29, 2026, 2:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory observations as of 13:20 HKT on April 2 confirm a maximum air temperature of 24°C since midnight at the Observatory, with current readings at 22.7°C under mainly cloudy skies and a few showers from an easterly airstream affecting southern China. This aligns with the 9-day forecast range of 22–26°C for today, but dropping temperatures mid-afternoon and persistent cloud cover have suppressed further warming, driving trader consensus to 98.6% implied probability for 24°C. Historical April highs average around 25°C, yet today's trough of low pressure limits insolation; a realistic challenge would require unexpected clearing and intense solar heating before evening, though model consensus and current trends make this unlikely as the daily maximum nears finalization.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$187,095終了日
2026/04/02マーケット開始日
Mar 29, 2026, 2:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hong Kong Observatory observations as of 13:20 HKT on April 2 confirm a maximum air temperature of 24°C since midnight at the Observatory, with current readings at 22.7°C under mainly cloudy skies and a few showers from an easterly airstream affecting southern China. This aligns with the 9-day forecast range of 22–26°C for today, but dropping temperatures mid-afternoon and persistent cloud cover have suppressed further warming, driving trader consensus to 98.6% implied probability for 24°C. Historical April highs average around 25°C, yet today's trough of low pressure limits insolation; a realistic challenge would require unexpected clearing and intense solar heating before evening, though model consensus and current trends make this unlikely as the daily maximum nears finalization.
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