Latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts cluster Shanghai's highest temperature on April 6 around 22–24°C under partly cloudy skies with light winds, fueling tight trader sentiment between 22°C (23% implied probability) and 23°C (23.5%) as the leading outcomes. This reflects model consensus on moderate solar insolation amid a recent warm spell—Shanghai hit 23°C on April 2 despite clouds—boosted by urban heat island effects in the megacity. Differentiating factors include subtle variations in cloud cover evolution and potential sea breeze moderation, with historical early April averages near 18°C underscoring above-normal warmth from persistent high-pressure ridging. New China Meteorological Administration advisories and model runs expected before resolution could sharpen the peak.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Shanghai on April 6?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on April 6?
22°C 24%
23°C 23%
24°C 16%
25°C 13%
新規
$19,869 Vol.
新規
$19,869 Vol.
2026/04/06
17°C or below
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
3%
21°C
9%
22°C
24%
23°C
23%
24°C
16%
25°C
13%
26°C
8%
27°C or higher
5%
22°C 24%
23°C 23%
24°C 16%
25°C 13%
新規
$19,869 Vol.
新規
$19,869 Vol.
2026/04/06
17°C or below
$3,760 Vol.
1%
18°C
$1,012 Vol.
1%
19°C
$976 Vol.
1%
20°C
$1,132 Vol.
3%
21°C
$1,720 Vol.
9%
22°C
$1,462 Vol.
24%
23°C
$1,357 Vol.
23%
24°C
$2,263 Vol.
16%
25°C
$835 Vol.
13%
26°C
$1,513 Vol.
8%
27°C or higher
$3,906 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts cluster Shanghai's highest temperature on April 6 around 22–24°C under partly cloudy skies with light winds, fueling tight trader sentiment between 22°C (23% implied probability) and 23°C (23.5%) as the leading outcomes. This reflects model consensus on moderate solar insolation amid a recent warm spell—Shanghai hit 23°C on April 2 despite clouds—boosted by urban heat island effects in the megacity. Differentiating factors include subtle variations in cloud cover evolution and potential sea breeze moderation, with historical early April averages near 18°C underscoring above-normal warmth from persistent high-pressure ridging. New China Meteorological Administration advisories and model runs expected before resolution could sharpen the peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 2, 2026, 6:03 AM ET
音量
$19,869終了日
2026/04/06マーケット開始日
Apr 2, 2026, 6:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts cluster Shanghai's highest temperature on April 6 around 22–24°C under partly cloudy skies with light winds, fueling tight trader sentiment between 22°C (23% implied probability) and 23°C (23.5%) as the leading outcomes. This reflects model consensus on moderate solar insolation amid a recent warm spell—Shanghai hit 23°C on April 2 despite clouds—boosted by urban heat island effects in the megacity. Differentiating factors include subtle variations in cloud cover evolution and potential sea breeze moderation, with historical early April averages near 18°C underscoring above-normal warmth from persistent high-pressure ridging. New China Meteorological Administration advisories and model runs expected before resolution could sharpen the peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$19,869終了日
2026/04/06マーケット開始日
Apr 2, 2026, 6:03 AM ETLatest GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts cluster Shanghai's highest temperature on April 6 around 22–24°C under partly cloudy skies with light winds, fueling tight trader sentiment between 22°C (23% implied probability) and 23°C (23.5%) as the leading outcomes. This reflects model consensus on moderate solar insolation amid a recent warm spell—Shanghai hit 23°C on April 2 despite clouds—boosted by urban heat island effects in the megacity. Differentiating factors include subtle variations in cloud cover evolution and potential sea breeze moderation, with historical early April averages near 18°C underscoring above-normal warmth from persistent high-pressure ridging. New China Meteorological Administration advisories and model runs expected before resolution could sharpen the peak.
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