Latest National Weather Service forecasts for Dallas-Fort Worth peg April 4 highs around 71-74°F at Dallas Love Field, reflecting model consensus from GFS and ECMWF ensembles amid an approaching storm system bringing showers and thunderstorms Friday night into Saturday morning. Trader-implied probabilities cluster tightly at 70-71°F (28%) and 72-73°F (22.5%), driven by recent severe weather risk updates over the past 24 hours that highlight increased cloud cover and precipitation chances suppressing peak heating. Differentiating factors include storm timing—earlier onshore flow and heavier coverage favor cooler 70s, while delayed activity allows mid-70s—plus boundary layer moisture from prior warm days (e.g., 86°F on April 1). New model runs and NWS discussions expected this evening could sharpen resolution ahead of tomorrow's observations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Dallas on April 4?
Highest temperature in Dallas on April 4?
70-71°F 28.8%
72-73°F 23%
74-75°F 17%
76-77°F 11%
$21,033 Vol.
$21,033 Vol.
2026/04/04
67°F or below
4%
68-69°F
9%
70-71°F
29%
72-73°F
23%
74-75°F
17%
76-77°F
11%
78-79°F
4%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
1%
86°F or higher
<1%
70-71°F 28.8%
72-73°F 23%
74-75°F 17%
76-77°F 11%
$21,033 Vol.
$21,033 Vol.
2026/04/04
67°F or below
$3,001 Vol.
4%
68-69°F
$1,553 Vol.
9%
70-71°F
$1,752 Vol.
29%
72-73°F
$1,451 Vol.
23%
74-75°F
$1,828 Vol.
17%
76-77°F
$1,570 Vol.
11%
78-79°F
$2,130 Vol.
4%
80-81°F
$1,403 Vol.
1%
82-83°F
$1,610 Vol.
1%
84-85°F
$763 Vol.
1%
86°F or higher
$3,972 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service forecasts for Dallas-Fort Worth peg April 4 highs around 71-74°F at Dallas Love Field, reflecting model consensus from GFS and ECMWF ensembles amid an approaching storm system bringing showers and thunderstorms Friday night into Saturday morning. Trader-implied probabilities cluster tightly at 70-71°F (28%) and 72-73°F (22.5%), driven by recent severe weather risk updates over the past 24 hours that highlight increased cloud cover and precipitation chances suppressing peak heating. Differentiating factors include storm timing—earlier onshore flow and heavier coverage favor cooler 70s, while delayed activity allows mid-70s—plus boundary layer moisture from prior warm days (e.g., 86°F on April 1). New model runs and NWS discussions expected this evening could sharpen resolution ahead of tomorrow's observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Mar 29, 2026, 2:37 PM ET
音量
$21,033終了日
2026/04/04マーケット開始日
Mar 29, 2026, 2:37 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service forecasts for Dallas-Fort Worth peg April 4 highs around 71-74°F at Dallas Love Field, reflecting model consensus from GFS and ECMWF ensembles amid an approaching storm system bringing showers and thunderstorms Friday night into Saturday morning. Trader-implied probabilities cluster tightly at 70-71°F (28%) and 72-73°F (22.5%), driven by recent severe weather risk updates over the past 24 hours that highlight increased cloud cover and precipitation chances suppressing peak heating. Differentiating factors include storm timing—earlier onshore flow and heavier coverage favor cooler 70s, while delayed activity allows mid-70s—plus boundary layer moisture from prior warm days (e.g., 86°F on April 1). New model runs and NWS discussions expected this evening could sharpen resolution ahead of tomorrow's observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$21,033終了日
2026/04/04マーケット開始日
Mar 29, 2026, 2:37 PM ETLatest National Weather Service forecasts for Dallas-Fort Worth peg April 4 highs around 71-74°F at Dallas Love Field, reflecting model consensus from GFS and ECMWF ensembles amid an approaching storm system bringing showers and thunderstorms Friday night into Saturday morning. Trader-implied probabilities cluster tightly at 70-71°F (28%) and 72-73°F (22.5%), driven by recent severe weather risk updates over the past 24 hours that highlight increased cloud cover and precipitation chances suppressing peak heating. Differentiating factors include storm timing—earlier onshore flow and heavier coverage favor cooler 70s, while delayed activity allows mid-70s—plus boundary layer moisture from prior warm days (e.g., 86°F on April 1). New model runs and NWS discussions expected this evening could sharpen resolution ahead of tomorrow's observations.
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