Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 29°C as the highest temperature in São Paulo on April 2, 2026, with 100% implied probability, driven by official observational data from the automated weather station at São Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport (SBGR). INMET and METAR reports confirm the peak reached 29°C around mid-afternoon amid partly cloudy conditions, light southerly winds, and typical early autumn stability in southeastern Brazil, where monthly averages hover near 25-26°C. This positioning reflects verified measurements up to local midnight, precluding higher bins. Realistic challenges would require a rare data revision from authorities like INMET, though automated readings minimize such risks; no further updates expected as the event has passed.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日4月2日のサンパウロの最高気温は?
4月2日のサンパウロの最高気温は?
29℃ 100.0%
30°C <1%
31℃ <1%
32°C <1%
$89,480 Vol.
$89,480 Vol.
29℃
100%
30°C
<1%
31℃
<1%
32°C
<1%
33℃以上
<1%
29℃ 100.0%
30°C <1%
31℃ <1%
32°C <1%
$89,480 Vol.
$89,480 Vol.
29℃
100%
30°C
<1%
31℃
<1%
32°C
<1%
33℃以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Mar 29, 2026, 1:53 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 29°C as the highest temperature in São Paulo on April 2, 2026, with 100% implied probability, driven by official observational data from the automated weather station at São Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport (SBGR). INMET and METAR reports confirm the peak reached 29°C around mid-afternoon amid partly cloudy conditions, light southerly winds, and typical early autumn stability in southeastern Brazil, where monthly averages hover near 25-26°C. This positioning reflects verified measurements up to local midnight, precluding higher bins. Realistic challenges would require a rare data revision from authorities like INMET, though automated readings minimize such risks; no further updates expected as the event has passed.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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