BMKG's April 2 forecast update projects Jakarta's highest temperatures on April 8 at 30–31°C across districts under mostly cloudy conditions, aligning trader consensus with equal implied probabilities near this range amid the rainy-to-dry season transition. Recent light rain through April 3–5 suppressed peaks to 29–31°C, but clearing skies by April 7–9 could enable urban heat island effects and reduced cloud cover to push readings 1–2°C higher, as seen in March's 35°C extremes. High humidity (70–95%) and sea breeze patterns add variability, with model ensembles showing ±2°C uncertainty; daily BMKG advisories expected to clarify intensification potential before resolution. Historical April averages hover at 32°C, underscoring the tight contest.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Jakarta on April 8?
Highest temperature in Jakarta on April 8?
34°C 27%
27°C 26%
28°C 26%
29°C 26%
26°C or below
12%
27°C
26%
28°C
26%
29°C
26%
30°C
26%
31°C
26%
32°C
26%
33°C
26%
34°C
27%
35°C
26%
36°C or higher
12%
34°C 27%
27°C 26%
28°C 26%
29°C 26%
26°C or below
12%
27°C
26%
28°C
26%
29°C
26%
30°C
26%
31°C
26%
32°C
26%
33°C
26%
34°C
27%
35°C
26%
36°C or higher
12%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Apr 2, 2026, 10:02 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
BMKG's April 2 forecast update projects Jakarta's highest temperatures on April 8 at 30–31°C across districts under mostly cloudy conditions, aligning trader consensus with equal implied probabilities near this range amid the rainy-to-dry season transition. Recent light rain through April 3–5 suppressed peaks to 29–31°C, but clearing skies by April 7–9 could enable urban heat island effects and reduced cloud cover to push readings 1–2°C higher, as seen in March's 35°C extremes. High humidity (70–95%) and sea breeze patterns add variability, with model ensembles showing ±2°C uncertainty; daily BMKG advisories expected to clarify intensification potential before resolution. Historical April averages hover at 32°C, underscoring the tight contest.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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