Japan Meteorological Agency's latest short-term forecast projects Tokyo's highest temperature at 19°C today under mostly clear skies with light winds, driving trader consensus to a 50.5% implied probability for that outcome and 28% for 20°C. Morning observations align with this trajectory, following yesterday's cooler 16°C high amid cloud cover, while JMA's April 2 one-month outlook signals above-normal temperatures overall. Early April climatology typically sees highs near 17°C at the official Tokyo station, but current high-pressure influence and above-average solar insolation boost potential for 19–20°C peaks. Updated hourly guidance this afternoon could shift odds, with resolution based on JMA's verified daily maximum.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Tokyo on April 3?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on April 3?
19°C 55%
20°C 28%
21°C or higher 16.7%
18°C <1%
$117,674 Vol.
$117,674 Vol.
2026/04/03
18°C
<1%
19°C
55%
20°C
28%
21°C or higher
17%
19°C 55%
20°C 28%
21°C or higher 16.7%
18°C <1%
$117,674 Vol.
$117,674 Vol.
2026/04/03
18°C
$16,491 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$7,221 Vol.
55%
20°C
$6,955 Vol.
28%
21°C or higher
$9,001 Vol.
17%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Japan Meteorological Agency's latest short-term forecast projects Tokyo's highest temperature at 19°C today under mostly clear skies with light winds, driving trader consensus to a 50.5% implied probability for that outcome and 28% for 20°C. Morning observations align with this trajectory, following yesterday's cooler 16°C high amid cloud cover, while JMA's April 2 one-month outlook signals above-normal temperatures overall. Early April climatology typically sees highs near 17°C at the official Tokyo station, but current high-pressure influence and above-average solar insolation boost potential for 19–20°C peaks. Updated hourly guidance this afternoon could shift odds, with resolution based on JMA's verified daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Mar 29, 2026, 3:32 PM ET
音量
$117,674終了日
2026/04/03マーケット開始日
Mar 29, 2026, 3:32 PM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てウィンドウ
最終
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Japan Meteorological Agency's latest short-term forecast projects Tokyo's highest temperature at 19°C today under mostly clear skies with light winds, driving trader consensus to a 50.5% implied probability for that outcome and 28% for 20°C. Morning observations align with this trajectory, following yesterday's cooler 16°C high amid cloud cover, while JMA's April 2 one-month outlook signals above-normal temperatures overall. Early April climatology typically sees highs near 17°C at the official Tokyo station, but current high-pressure influence and above-average solar insolation boost potential for 19–20°C peaks. Updated hourly guidance this afternoon could shift odds, with resolution based on JMA's verified daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$117,674終了日
2026/04/03マーケット開始日
Mar 29, 2026, 3:32 PM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てウィンドウ
最終
Japan Meteorological Agency's latest short-term forecast projects Tokyo's highest temperature at 19°C today under mostly clear skies with light winds, driving trader consensus to a 50.5% implied probability for that outcome and 28% for 20°C. Morning observations align with this trajectory, following yesterday's cooler 16°C high amid cloud cover, while JMA's April 2 one-month outlook signals above-normal temperatures overall. Early April climatology typically sees highs near 17°C at the official Tokyo station, but current high-pressure influence and above-average solar insolation boost potential for 19–20°C peaks. Updated hourly guidance this afternoon could shift odds, with resolution based on JMA's verified daily maximum.
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