Hong Kong Observatory's official observational data confirms a maximum air temperature of 27.1°C at headquarters on April 3, 2026, under clear skies with 1.0 hour of sunshine, no rainfall, and relative humidity ranging 77-91%, propelling trader consensus to a 99.9% implied probability for the 27°C outcome. This aligns with pre-event forecasts anticipating highs around 27°C amid a dry easterly airstream following an unseasonably warm March (mean maximum 24.5°C, 2.6°C above normal) and seasonal outlooks for above-normal April temperatures. While other stations like Tai Po hit 29.6°C, market resolution hinges on HKO headquarters readings; challenges would require rare data revisions from instrument recalibration or quality control, deemed improbable given provisional validation.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 3?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 3?
27°C 99.8%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$223,470 Vol.
$223,470 Vol.
2026/04/03
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
100%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
27°C 99.8%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$223,470 Vol.
$223,470 Vol.
2026/04/03
19°C or below
$3,372 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$4,002 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$4,005 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$6,216 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$5,590 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$11,016 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$23,757 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$28,186 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$106,500 Vol.
100%
28°C
$17,936 Vol.
<1%
29°C or higher
$12,892 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory's official observational data confirms a maximum air temperature of 27.1°C at headquarters on April 3, 2026, under clear skies with 1.0 hour of sunshine, no rainfall, and relative humidity ranging 77-91%, propelling trader consensus to a 99.9% implied probability for the 27°C outcome. This aligns with pre-event forecasts anticipating highs around 27°C amid a dry easterly airstream following an unseasonably warm March (mean maximum 24.5°C, 2.6°C above normal) and seasonal outlooks for above-normal April temperatures. While other stations like Tai Po hit 29.6°C, market resolution hinges on HKO headquarters readings; challenges would require rare data revisions from instrument recalibration or quality control, deemed improbable given provisional validation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Mar 29, 2026, 3:55 PM ET
音量
$223,470終了日
2026/04/03マーケット開始日
Mar 29, 2026, 3:55 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory's official observational data confirms a maximum air temperature of 27.1°C at headquarters on April 3, 2026, under clear skies with 1.0 hour of sunshine, no rainfall, and relative humidity ranging 77-91%, propelling trader consensus to a 99.9% implied probability for the 27°C outcome. This aligns with pre-event forecasts anticipating highs around 27°C amid a dry easterly airstream following an unseasonably warm March (mean maximum 24.5°C, 2.6°C above normal) and seasonal outlooks for above-normal April temperatures. While other stations like Tai Po hit 29.6°C, market resolution hinges on HKO headquarters readings; challenges would require rare data revisions from instrument recalibration or quality control, deemed improbable given provisional validation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$223,470終了日
2026/04/03マーケット開始日
Mar 29, 2026, 3:55 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hong Kong Observatory's official observational data confirms a maximum air temperature of 27.1°C at headquarters on April 3, 2026, under clear skies with 1.0 hour of sunshine, no rainfall, and relative humidity ranging 77-91%, propelling trader consensus to a 99.9% implied probability for the 27°C outcome. This aligns with pre-event forecasts anticipating highs around 27°C amid a dry easterly airstream following an unseasonably warm March (mean maximum 24.5°C, 2.6°C above normal) and seasonal outlooks for above-normal April temperatures. While other stations like Tai Po hit 29.6°C, market resolution hinges on HKO headquarters readings; challenges would require rare data revisions from instrument recalibration or quality control, deemed improbable given provisional validation.
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