India Meteorological Department (IMD) block-level forecasts issued April 2 indicate a maximum temperature of 35°C for Lucknow district on April 4, with nearby urban blocks reaching up to 36.3°C amid light rainfall (1.6 mm) and thunderstorm/lightning warnings, driving trader consensus toward 33–36°C outcomes where implied probabilities cluster tightly at 30.5% for 33°C or below, 27.5% for 34°C, and 19% for 35°C. An active western disturbance over northwest India is fostering cloudy skies and isolated squalls in west Uttar Pradesh, reducing solar insolation and capping highs below early-April climatological averages of ~36°C. Key differentiators include cloud cover persistence—prolonging suppression for sub-34°C readings—or midday clearing and gusty winds aiding 36°C+. IMD updates expected later today and April 4 observations at Lucknow station will refine trajectories amid this inherent short-range forecast uncertainty.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Lucknow on April 4?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on April 4?
33°C or below 31.2%
34°C 27%
35°C 21%
36°C 14%
$23,381 Vol.
$23,381 Vol.
2026/04/04
33°C or below
31%
34°C
27%
35°C
21%
36°C
14%
37°C
4%
38°C
5%
39°C
2%
40°C
1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C or higher
<1%
33°C or below 31.2%
34°C 27%
35°C 21%
36°C 14%
$23,381 Vol.
$23,381 Vol.
2026/04/04
33°C or below
$2,916 Vol.
31%
34°C
$1,843 Vol.
27%
35°C
$1,547 Vol.
21%
36°C
$1,631 Vol.
14%
37°C
$1,696 Vol.
4%
38°C
$1,969 Vol.
5%
39°C
$1,362 Vol.
2%
40°C
$1,678 Vol.
1%
41°C
$3,232 Vol.
<1%
42°C
$2,287 Vol.
<1%
43°C or higher
$3,244 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.India Meteorological Department (IMD) block-level forecasts issued April 2 indicate a maximum temperature of 35°C for Lucknow district on April 4, with nearby urban blocks reaching up to 36.3°C amid light rainfall (1.6 mm) and thunderstorm/lightning warnings, driving trader consensus toward 33–36°C outcomes where implied probabilities cluster tightly at 30.5% for 33°C or below, 27.5% for 34°C, and 19% for 35°C. An active western disturbance over northwest India is fostering cloudy skies and isolated squalls in west Uttar Pradesh, reducing solar insolation and capping highs below early-April climatological averages of ~36°C. Key differentiators include cloud cover persistence—prolonging suppression for sub-34°C readings—or midday clearing and gusty winds aiding 36°C+. IMD updates expected later today and April 4 observations at Lucknow station will refine trajectories amid this inherent short-range forecast uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Mar 29, 2026, 3:42 PM ET
音量
$23,381終了日
2026/04/04マーケット開始日
Mar 29, 2026, 3:42 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.India Meteorological Department (IMD) block-level forecasts issued April 2 indicate a maximum temperature of 35°C for Lucknow district on April 4, with nearby urban blocks reaching up to 36.3°C amid light rainfall (1.6 mm) and thunderstorm/lightning warnings, driving trader consensus toward 33–36°C outcomes where implied probabilities cluster tightly at 30.5% for 33°C or below, 27.5% for 34°C, and 19% for 35°C. An active western disturbance over northwest India is fostering cloudy skies and isolated squalls in west Uttar Pradesh, reducing solar insolation and capping highs below early-April climatological averages of ~36°C. Key differentiators include cloud cover persistence—prolonging suppression for sub-34°C readings—or midday clearing and gusty winds aiding 36°C+. IMD updates expected later today and April 4 observations at Lucknow station will refine trajectories amid this inherent short-range forecast uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$23,381終了日
2026/04/04マーケット開始日
Mar 29, 2026, 3:42 PM ETIndia Meteorological Department (IMD) block-level forecasts issued April 2 indicate a maximum temperature of 35°C for Lucknow district on April 4, with nearby urban blocks reaching up to 36.3°C amid light rainfall (1.6 mm) and thunderstorm/lightning warnings, driving trader consensus toward 33–36°C outcomes where implied probabilities cluster tightly at 30.5% for 33°C or below, 27.5% for 34°C, and 19% for 35°C. An active western disturbance over northwest India is fostering cloudy skies and isolated squalls in west Uttar Pradesh, reducing solar insolation and capping highs below early-April climatological averages of ~36°C. Key differentiators include cloud cover persistence—prolonging suppression for sub-34°C readings—or midday clearing and gusty winds aiding 36°C+. IMD updates expected later today and April 4 observations at Lucknow station will refine trajectories amid this inherent short-range forecast uncertainty.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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