Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a razor-thin split between 35°C (51.5%) and 36°C (45%) as Lucknow's highest temperature today, reflecting IMD's latest forecast of around 38°C under clear skies—following yesterday's observed 37.5°C peak (+1.1°C above normal) and April 1's 36.3°C—but tempered by pre-monsoon uncertainties like potential afternoon convective clouds, light westerly winds (3-4 km/h observed this morning), and low humidity (28% minimum yesterday) that could cap peak heating around midday solar maximum. Historical April averages hover near 38°C amid dry continental air masses, yet model ensembles diverge slightly on subsidence strength; real-time IMD hourly data through evening will clarify the balance.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Lucknow on April 3?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on April 3?
36°C 44%
34°C or below 18.9%
35°C 18%
37°C 13%
$52,999 Vol.
$52,999 Vol.
34°C or below
19%
35°C
18%
36°C
44%
37°C
13%
38°C
3%
39°C
1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C or higher
<1%
36°C 44%
34°C or below 18.9%
35°C 18%
37°C 13%
$52,999 Vol.
$52,999 Vol.
34°C or below
19%
35°C
18%
36°C
44%
37°C
13%
38°C
3%
39°C
1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Mar 29, 2026, 3:15 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a razor-thin split between 35°C (51.5%) and 36°C (45%) as Lucknow's highest temperature today, reflecting IMD's latest forecast of around 38°C under clear skies—following yesterday's observed 37.5°C peak (+1.1°C above normal) and April 1's 36.3°C—but tempered by pre-monsoon uncertainties like potential afternoon convective clouds, light westerly winds (3-4 km/h observed this morning), and low humidity (28% minimum yesterday) that could cap peak heating around midday solar maximum. Historical April averages hover near 38°C amid dry continental air masses, yet model ensembles diverge slightly on subsidence strength; real-time IMD hourly data through evening will clarify the balance.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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