Current short-range forecast models, including ECMWF and GFS ensembles accessed via international weather services, project Chongqing's highest temperature on April 8 around 22-24°C, fueling the near-even split in trader sentiment with 29% implied odds for 23°C and 24°C or higher versus 25.5% across 15-22°C outcomes. This reflects early April's transitional spring patterns in the humid subtropical Yangtze basin, where historical daily highs average 23°C but high cloudiness (49% overcast odds), frequent showers, and variable southerly winds versus cooler northerlies create wide uncertainty. Recent days' mild 20°C readings with partial sun align with climatology, yet incoming frontal systems could cap peaks lower. China Meteorological Administration updates, released daily, will clarify steering patterns and cloud trends before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Chongqing on April 8?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on April 8?
24°C or higher 29%
23°C 23%
20°C 18%
21°C 17%
14°C or below
2%
15°C
3%
16°C
3%
17°C
17%
18°C
17%
19°C
17%
20°C
18%
21°C
17%
22°C
17%
23°C
23%
24°C or higher
29%
24°C or higher 29%
23°C 23%
20°C 18%
21°C 17%
14°C or below
2%
15°C
3%
16°C
3%
17°C
17%
18°C
17%
19°C
17%
20°C
18%
21°C
17%
22°C
17%
23°C
23%
24°C or higher
29%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Apr 4, 2026, 12:37 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Current short-range forecast models, including ECMWF and GFS ensembles accessed via international weather services, project Chongqing's highest temperature on April 8 around 22-24°C, fueling the near-even split in trader sentiment with 29% implied odds for 23°C and 24°C or higher versus 25.5% across 15-22°C outcomes. This reflects early April's transitional spring patterns in the humid subtropical Yangtze basin, where historical daily highs average 23°C but high cloudiness (49% overcast odds), frequent showers, and variable southerly winds versus cooler northerlies create wide uncertainty. Recent days' mild 20°C readings with partial sun align with climatology, yet incoming frontal systems could cap peaks lower. China Meteorological Administration updates, released daily, will clarify steering patterns and cloud trends before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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