Latest National Weather Service guidance, updated early April 2, forecasts a high near 83°F at Dallas Love Field and DFW Airport on April 3, aligning with GFS and ECMWF ensemble consensus around 82-83°F and driving trader sentiment toward that bin at 46.5% implied probability. Record-hot March temperatures averaging 67.6°F in DFW—warmest on record—continue into spring under NOAA's above-normal outlook, fueled by persistent southerly winds advecting moist Gulf air in a weak upper-level pattern. Adjacent outcomes at 80-81°F (22.5%) and 84-85°F (21%) reflect uncertainty from potential afternoon showers or thunderstorms after 4 p.m., which could cap peaks via cloud cover. New 12z model runs and evening NWS updates may refine trajectories before resolution via official observations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Dallas on April 3?
Highest temperature in Dallas on April 3?
82-83°F 45%
80-81°F 23%
84-85°F 22%
78-79°F 10%
$29,605 Vol.
$29,605 Vol.
75°F or below
1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
10%
80-81°F
23%
82-83°F
45%
84-85°F
22%
86-87°F
3%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94°F or higher
<1%
82-83°F 45%
80-81°F 23%
84-85°F 22%
78-79°F 10%
$29,605 Vol.
$29,605 Vol.
75°F or below
1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
10%
80-81°F
23%
82-83°F
45%
84-85°F
22%
86-87°F
3%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Mar 29, 2026, 2:43 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Latest National Weather Service guidance, updated early April 2, forecasts a high near 83°F at Dallas Love Field and DFW Airport on April 3, aligning with GFS and ECMWF ensemble consensus around 82-83°F and driving trader sentiment toward that bin at 46.5% implied probability. Record-hot March temperatures averaging 67.6°F in DFW—warmest on record—continue into spring under NOAA's above-normal outlook, fueled by persistent southerly winds advecting moist Gulf air in a weak upper-level pattern. Adjacent outcomes at 80-81°F (22.5%) and 84-85°F (21%) reflect uncertainty from potential afternoon showers or thunderstorms after 4 p.m., which could cap peaks via cloud cover. New 12z model runs and evening NWS updates may refine trajectories before resolution via official observations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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