Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 23–24°C for Wuhan's highest temperature at Tianhe International Airport on April 6, reflecting the latest forecasts from AccuWeather and Weather.com projecting daytime highs near 73°F (23°C) under mostly cloudy skies with low precipitation risk (1–8%). This positioning stems from recent model runs showing mild southerly winds and partial cloud cover limiting solar insolation after partly sunny conditions on April 4 (forecast high 75–77°F or 24–25°C). Differentiating factors include ensemble spread in GFS and ECMWF outputs—slight clearing could push toward 24°C, while persistent overcast favors 23°C—amid early April climatology averaging 20–22°C highs. New 12-hourly updates from China Meteorological Administration expected before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 6?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 6?
24°C 30%
23°C 26%
22°C 14%
25°C 13%
20°C or below
2%
21°C
8%
22°C
14%
23°C
26%
24°C
30%
25°C
13%
26°C
11%
27°C
4%
28°C
2%
29°C
1%
30°C or higher
<1%
24°C 30%
23°C 26%
22°C 14%
25°C 13%
20°C or below
2%
21°C
8%
22°C
14%
23°C
26%
24°C
30%
25°C
13%
26°C
11%
27°C
4%
28°C
2%
29°C
1%
30°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Apr 2, 2026, 6:35 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 23–24°C for Wuhan's highest temperature at Tianhe International Airport on April 6, reflecting the latest forecasts from AccuWeather and Weather.com projecting daytime highs near 73°F (23°C) under mostly cloudy skies with low precipitation risk (1–8%). This positioning stems from recent model runs showing mild southerly winds and partial cloud cover limiting solar insolation after partly sunny conditions on April 4 (forecast high 75–77°F or 24–25°C). Differentiating factors include ensemble spread in GFS and ECMWF outputs—slight clearing could push toward 24°C, while persistent overcast favors 23°C—amid early April climatology averaging 20–22°C highs. New 12-hourly updates from China Meteorological Administration expected before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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